Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 14 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Riccardo Silva Stadium (Miami, FL)

Referee: Scheer J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Miami		Memphis 901

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.7	1.71
	4.2	3.75	1.75
	3.9	3.75	1.76
	4.01	3.83	1.8	Watch
	3.97	3.82	1.77	Watch
	4.2	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.3)	3.77 ↑ (3.7)	1.76 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami
23%

Draw
24.5%

Memphis 901
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

25.1%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

24.1%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miami's form might have worsened.

Memphis 901 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Memphis 901's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Miami - Memphis 901 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Memphis will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Memphis: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ndiaye K. (G) 4. Cardona N. (C) 18. Palacios J. C. 13. Knutson D. 50. Molina R. 16. Botta M. 11. Lopez F. 29. Mitrano A. 5. DeZart J. 19. Lawrence M. 7. Luisinho	22. Henry T. (G) 3. Vom Steeg C. 91. Cissoko A. 2. Tulu 14. Ward A. (C) 6. Duncan Z. 5. Careaga S. 77. Borczak D. 21. Armenakas P. 10. Lapa B. 99. Bakero J.
Substitutes
3. Ayimbila J. 14. Barbir D. 8. Cabral G. 33. DePaula L. 99. Gavilanes A. 15. Murana M. 31. Rodriguez F. 34. Santana M.	1. Deric T. (G) 4. Hyndman E. 7. Meza N. 9. Nascimento L. 23. Paul L. 20. Pickering N. 18. Quezada A.
Coaches
Nocerino A.	Glass S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Lopez F. ⚽, Molina R. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Borczak D. ⚽, Armenakas P. (A),
32', Botta M. ↓, Genzano R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Miami has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Memphis is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Memphis is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Memphis to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Miami won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Miami won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Championship
10.08.24	El Paso Locomotive - Miami	2:1 ✺
03.08.24	Loudoun United - Miami	4:1 ✺
27.07.24	Miami - Oakland Roots	1:2 ✺
19.07.24	Charleston Battery - Miami	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Miami - Rhode Island	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Memphis 901
USL Championship
10.08.24	Charleston Battery - Memphis 901	3:1 ✺
03.08.24	Memphis 901 - El Paso Locomotive	0:0 ✺
27.07.24	Memphis 901 - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Tulsa - Memphis 901	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Detroit City - Memphis 901	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
03.06.23	Memphis 901 - Miami	5:1
01.04.23	Miami - Memphis 901	1:1
01.10.22	Miami - Memphis 901	1:0
30.04.22	Memphis 901 - Miami	1:2
11.09.21	Memphis 901 - Miami	0:2

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