Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Riccardo Silva Stadium (Miami, FL)

Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Miami		Oakland Roots

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	3.6	1.98
	3.1	3.75	2.05
	3.13	3.68	2.11
	3.14	3.77	2.08	Watch
	3.12	3.78	2.03	Watch
	3.05	3.7	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.83)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)	2.04 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami
30%

Draw
24.8%

Oakland Roots
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

25.2%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

23.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami's performance.

Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oakland Roots might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Miami - Oakland Roots Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gagliardi D. (G) 15. Murana M. 4. Cardona N. (C) 14. Barbir D. 29. Mitrano A. 23. Genzano R. 6. Biek S. 8. Cabral G. 18. Palacios J. C. 99. Gavilanes A. 11. Lopez F.	20. Blanchette P. (G) 4. Margvelashvili G. 15. Hackshaw N. 3. Logue N. 23. Diaz M. 8. Donasiyano I. 6. Gomez D. 14. Rasmussen J. 17. Rodriguez J. 2. Njie B. 9. Dwyer D.
Substitutes
3. Ayimbila J. 16. Botta M. 33. DePaula L. 13. Knutson D. 7. Luisinho 50. Molina R. 1. Ndiaye K. (G) 34. Santana M.	27. Chery M. 38. Cruz E. 7. Matsoso N. 10. Mfeka L. 11. Reid T. 5. Riley C. 60. Syrel T. (G)
Coaches
Nocerino A.	Glinton G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Margvelashvili G. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Diaz M. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Palacios J. C. 🟨,
56', Dwyer D. 🟨,
60', Dwyer D. ↓, Mfeka L. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Rasmussen J. (A),
70', Murana M. ↓, Luisinho ↑,
70', Genzano R. ↓, Molina R. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Lopez F. ⚽, Luisinho (A),
76', Njie B. ↓, Reid T. ↑,
76', Margvelashvili G. ↓, Riley C. ↑,
76', Gomez D. ↓, Matsoso N. ↑,
82', Reid T. 🟨,
85', Biek S. ↓, Botta M. ↑,
86', Rodriguez J. ↓, Chery M. ↑,
88', Matsoso N. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Miami has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Oakland Roots is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oakland Roots could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Oakland Roots will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Miami won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Championship
19.07.24	Charleston Battery - Miami	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Miami - Rhode Island	2:3 ✺
06.07.24	North Carolina - Miami	4:1 ✺
29.06.24	Miami - Detroit City	0:4 ✺
22.06.24	Miami - Loudoun United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLT
- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
21.07.24	Oakland Roots - Sacramento Republic	2:5 ✺
13.07.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Oakland Roots	5:0 ✺
06.07.24	Oakland Roots - Louisville City	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Orange County SC - Oakland Roots	0:2 ✺
22.06.24	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
29.04.23	Oakland Roots - Miami	0:0

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