Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Southwest University Park (El Paso, TX)

Referee: Koroleva E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	El Paso Locomotive		Miami

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.9	4.6
	1.57	4	5
	1.65	3.89	4.6
	1.62	4.06	5	Watch
	1.58	4.1	4.96	Watch
	1.57	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.82)	3.99 ↑ (3.5)	4.86 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

Watch this match and USL Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: IND (WBFS – Miami, FL)

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Current Win Probability

El Paso Locomotive
58%

Draw
23.1%

Miami
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

26.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

21.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Paso Locomotive's performance.

Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miami could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

El Paso Locomotive - Miami Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Waite J. (G) 4. Stauffer L. (C) 2. Craig B. 15. Dollenmayer N. 33. Ruiz R. 21. Akinyode B. 30. Coronado R. 12. Rivas W. 18. Moshobane T. 10. Moreno A. 7. Rivas J.	1. Ndiaye K. (G) 33. DePaula L. 34. Santana M. 13. Knutson D. (C) 29. Mitrano A. 23. Genzano R. 35. Joseph S. 8. Cabral G. 18. Palacios J. C. 50. Molina R. 99. Gavilanes A.
Substitutes
3. Ackwei W. 19. Cabrera A. 6. Calvillo E. 31. Hinds N. 16. Lyons M. 1. Pasquel Colin R. (G) 17. Zacarias R.	3. Ayimbila J. 16. Botta M. 5. DeZart J. 30. Jean-Francois C. 7. Luisinho 31. Rodriguez F.
Coaches
Cabrera W.	Nocerino A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Akinyode B. 🟨,
39', Cabral G. 🟨,
40', DePaula L. 🟨,
44', Santana M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Coronado R. ⚽, Stauffer L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', DePaula L. ↓, DeZart J. ↑,
46', Rivas J. ↓, Calvillo E. ↑,
46', Rivas W. ↓, Cabrera A. ↑,
51', Moreno A. 🟨,
59', Molina R. ↓, Luisinho ↑,
65', Genzano R. ↓, Botta M. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Calvillo E. ⚽, Coronado R. (A),
69', Stauffer L. ↓, Ackwei W. ↑,
69', Moreno A. ↓, Zacarias R. ↑,
78', Santana M. ↓, Jean-Francois C. ↑,
80', Joseph S. ↓, Ayimbila J. ↑,
81', Ruiz R. ↓, Hinds N. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Luisinho ⚽, Mitrano A. (A),

Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.

In this match El Paso is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches El Paso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
03.08.24	Memphis 901 - El Paso Locomotive	0:0 ✺
27.07.24	El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United	1:2 ✺
19.07.24	Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive	2:0 ✺
12.07.24	El Paso Locomotive - Las Vegas Lights	0:2 ✺
26.06.24	Rhode Island - El Paso Locomotive	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLLL
- Miami FC
USL Championship
03.08.24	Loudoun United - Miami	4:1 ✺
27.07.24	Miami - Oakland Roots	1:2 ✺
19.07.24	Charleston Battery - Miami	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Miami - Rhode Island	2:3 ✺
06.07.24	North Carolina - Miami	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
05.08.23	Miami - El Paso Locomotive	4:0

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