Match Info

Championship - Round 32

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Coventry City		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3	Watch
	2.32	3.54	2.95	Watch
	2.33	3.57	3.11
	2.29	3.54	3.01	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.9
	2.3	3.69	3.07	Watch
	2.28	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.94)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)	3.01 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
41.7%

Draw
26.7%

Middlesbrough
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

27.1%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coventry City's form might have worsened.

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Middlesbrough's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coventry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Middlesbrough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.2%	11.1%	53.7%

Coventry City - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 19 - 35.8%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 29 - 54.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 41.3% – 68.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH +0.5 - Middlesbrough (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH 0 - Coventry (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Coventry (1.65) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Middlesbrough (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Middlesbrough will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 5 - 25%). Middlesbrough (votes: 15 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 3. Dasilva J. 16. Onyeka F. 6. Grimes M. (C) 7. Sakamoto T. 5. Rudoni J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 11. Wright H.	31. Brynn S. (G) 2. Brittain C. 12. Ayling L. 29. Malanda A. 3. Targett M. 16. Browne A. 18. Morris A. 7. Hackney H. (C) 8. McGree R. 11. Whittaker M. 9. Conway T.
Substitutes
21. Bidwell J. 28. Eccles J. 14. Esse R. 15. Kitching L. 24. Markelo J. 9. Simms E. 29. Torp V. 13. Wilson B. (G) 26. Woolfenden L.	6. Fry D. 14. Gilbert A. 27. Hansen S. 44. Ibeh C. 15. Munroe F. 45. Sarmiento J. 20. Sene M. K. 13. Strelec D. 32. Wildsmith J. (G)
Coaches
Lampard F.	Hellberg K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Wright H. ⚽, Rudoni J. (A),
22', Morris A. 🟨,
27', Onyeka F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Sakamoto T. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Wright H. ⚽, Rushworth C. (A),
59', Whittaker M. ↓, Strelec D. ↑,
59', Browne A. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, McGree R. ⚽,
69', Mason-Clark E. ↓, Esse R. ↑,
69', Rudoni J. ↓, Eccles J. ↑,
70', Ayling L. 🟨,
71', 3 - 1, Wright H. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Grimes M. 🟨,
75', Onyeka F. ↓, Torp V. ↑,
81', Conway T. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
82', Sakamoto T. ↓, Markelo J. ↑,
82', Wright H. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
90+2', Targett M. ↓, Munroe F. ↑,
90+2', McGree R. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 5.

Recent performances by Coventry have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Middlesbrough is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Middlesbrough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Injury) Edmundson G. (Injury) Jones A. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Coventry: Mason-Clark E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Castledine L. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 1.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Coventry won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 1.3:0.3).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Middlesbrough: 12.08%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Middlesbrough	9	5	3	1	17:12	5	18

Last Results with these Odds

Coventry City - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.67%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
07.02.26	Coventry City - Oxford United	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Queens Park Rangers - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Norwich City - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Coventry City - Millwall	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Coventry City - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLWW
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
09.02.26	Sheffield United - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Middlesbrough - Norwich City	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Middlesbrough - Preston North End	4:0 ✺
21.01.26	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
25.11.25	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	2:4
03.05.25	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	2:0
02.11.24	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	0:3
01.01.24	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	1:3
12.08.23	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	3:0
17.05.23	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	0:1
14.05.23	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	0:0

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