Match Info

Championship - Round 32

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 3, Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Haiti	15:00	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	04:00	myTV SUPER
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV3
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	04:00	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	22:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3, SuperSport Variety 4, SupeSport ESPN
South America	—	ESPN 5 South
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
Turkey	23:00	Exxen
United Kingdom	20:00	ITV 4, ITV X, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+


	Coventry City		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3	Watch
	2.32	3.54	2.95	Watch
	2.33	3.57	3.11
	2.29	3.54	3.01	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.9
	2.3	3.69	3.07	Watch
	2.28	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.94)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)	3.01 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
41.7%

Draw
26.7%

Middlesbrough
31.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

26.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coventry City's form might have worsened.

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Middlesbrough's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coventry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Middlesbrough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.2%	11.1%	53.7%

Coventry City - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 19 - 35.8%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 29 - 54.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 41.3% – 68.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH +0.5 - Middlesbrough (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH 0 - Coventry (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Coventry (1.65) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Middlesbrough (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Middlesbrough will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 5 - 25%). Middlesbrough (votes: 15 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 3. Dasilva J. 16. Onyeka F. 6. Grimes M. (C) 7. Sakamoto T. 5. Rudoni J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 11. Wright H.	31. Brynn S. (G) 2. Brittain C. 12. Ayling L. 29. Malanda A. 3. Targett M. 16. Browne A. 18. Morris A. 7. Hackney H. (C) 8. McGree R. 11. Whittaker M. 9. Conway T.
Substitutes
21. Bidwell J. 28. Eccles J. 14. Esse R. 15. Kitching L. 24. Markelo J. 9. Simms E. 29. Torp V. 13. Wilson B. (G) 26. Woolfenden L.	6. Fry D. 14. Gilbert A. 27. Hansen S. 44. Ibeh C. 15. Munroe F. 45. Sarmiento J. 20. Sene M. K. 13. Strelec D. 32. Wildsmith J. (G)
Coaches
Lampard F.	Hellberg K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Wright H. ⚽, Rudoni J. (A),
22', Morris A. 🟨,
27', Onyeka F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Sakamoto T. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Wright H. ⚽, Rushworth C. (A),
59', Whittaker M. ↓, Strelec D. ↑,
59', Browne A. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, McGree R. ⚽,
69', Mason-Clark E. ↓, Esse R. ↑,
69', Rudoni J. ↓, Eccles J. ↑,
70', Ayling L. 🟨,
71', 3 - 1, Wright H. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Grimes M. 🟨,
75', Onyeka F. ↓, Torp V. ↑,
81', Conway T. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
82', Sakamoto T. ↓, Markelo J. ↑,
82', Wright H. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
90+2', Targett M. ↓, Munroe F. ↑,
90+2', McGree R. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 5.

Recent performances by Coventry have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Middlesbrough is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Middlesbrough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Injury) Edmundson G. (Injury) Jones A. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Coventry: Mason-Clark E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Castledine L. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 1.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Coventry won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27:17	10	25

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Middlesbrough: 12.12%

Last Results with these Odds

Coventry City - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.67%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
07.02.26	Coventry City - Oxford United	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Queens Park Rangers - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Norwich City - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Coventry City - Millwall	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Coventry City - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLWW
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
09.02.26	Sheffield United - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Middlesbrough - Norwich City	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Middlesbrough - Preston North End	4:0 ✺
21.01.26	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
25.11.25	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	2:4
03.05.25	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	2:0
02.11.24	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	0:3
01.01.24	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	1:3
12.08.23	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	3:0
17.05.23	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	0:1
14.05.23	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	0:0

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