The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portsmouth 36.4%
Draw 27.7%
Swansea City 35.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36%
27.7%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
28%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Portsmouth - Swansea City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 2nd in the Promotion - Premier League).
Portsmouth is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Swansea has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Swansea could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Portsmouth has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Portsmouth against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:2 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).