Match Info

Championship - Round 19

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)


	Swansea City		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.08	3.45	3.55	Watch
	2.13	3.42	3.77
	2.07	3.4	3.65	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	2.09	3.28	3.52	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.93)	3.36 ↑ (3.32)	3.62 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
45.7%

Draw
28.2%

Oxford United
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Swansea City - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Oxford will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 30. Galbraith E. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 35. Ronald 6. Stamenic M. 7. Widell M. 17. Franco G. 10. Eom J. 9. Vipotnik Z.	1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 6. Helik M. (C) 3. Brown C. 26. Currie J. 17. Mills S. 14. De Keersmaecker B. 12. Harris L. 4. Vaulks W. 50. Krastev F. 9. Harris M.
Substitutes
26. Casey K. 20. Cullen L. 1. Fisher A. (G) 4. Fulton J. 33. Idah A. 27. Inoussa Z. 21. Manuel Hedilazio B. 41. Parker S. 8. Yalcouye M.	20. Bradshaw T. 29. Davies B. 19. Goodrham T. 21. Ingram M. (G) 27. Lankshear W. 22. Leigh G. 16. Prelec N. 24. ter Avest H. 11. ter Haar Romeny O.
Coaches
Emanuel Soares Matos V.	Rowett G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Stamenic M. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
43', Tymon J. 🟨,
43', Harris M. 🟨,
45', Krastev F. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Tymon J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Franco G. 🟨,
62', Krastev F. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
62', Harris L. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
63', Harris M. ↓, Lankshear W. ↑,
63', Mills S. ↓, ter Avest H. ↑,
71', Widell M. ↓, Casey K. ↑,
71', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
75', Currie J. 🟨,
79', Eom J. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
80', Franco G. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
80', Currie J. ↓, Leigh G. ↑,
84', Lankshear W. 🟨,
90+1', Galbraith E. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 and 20).

Swansea has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Oxford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Oxford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Swansea will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Oxford: Brannagan C. (Injury) Phillips M. (Thigh Injury) Spencer B. (Leg Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).

Including home match between the teams, Swansea won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
29.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City	3:2 ✺
25.11.25	Swansea City - Derby County	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Bristol City - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Swansea City - Ipswich Town	1:4 ✺
05.11.25	Preston North End - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Oxford United
English League Championship
28.11.25	Oxford United - Ipswich Town	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Norwich City - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Oxford United - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Oxford United - Stoke City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
03.05.25	Swansea City - Oxford United	3:3
02.11.24	Oxford United - Swansea City	1:2
Club Friendly
21.07.23	Oxford United - Swansea City	1:0
English League Cup
09.08.22	Oxford United - Swansea City	3:2 penalties
English FA Cup
10.01.16	Oxford United - Swansea City	3:2

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