Match Info

Championship - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Middlesbrough		West Bromwich Albion

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.80	4.50	Watch
	1.72	4.00	4.50
	1.73	3.70	4.40	Watch
	1.75	4.02	4.69
	1.76	3.84	4.49	Watch
	1.72	4.00	4.65
	1.79	3.89	4.61	Watch
	1.73	3.85	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.71)	3.89 ↑ (3.8)	4.54 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
54.6%

Draw
24.4%

West Bromwich Albion
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

24.7%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

27.7%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Middlesbrough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - West Bromwich (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Middlesbrough will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitek R. (G) 2. Brittain C. 12. Ayling L. (C) 29. Malanda A. 30. Neto Borges 10. Morris A. 14. Peart-Harris M. 11. Whittaker M. 8. McGree R. 16. Sarmiento J. 7. Lankshear W.	1. O'Leary M. (G) 25. Galves N. 3. Phillips N. 6. Campbell G. (C) 4. Styles C. 29. Whitwell H. 8. Molumby J. 17. Diakite O. 21. Price I. 7. Myhre F. 11. Morgan J.
Substitutes
17. Arfsten M. 6. Berhalter S. 31. Brynn S. (G) 19. Castledine L. 9. Conway T. 5. Jones A. 22. Joseph K. 4. Phillips A. 13. Strelec D.	23. Bany T. 19. Heggebo A. 13. Ingram M. (G) 2. Mepham C. 20. Nzingoula R. 9. Stewart B. 22. Townsend C. 26. Tunde K. 28. Williams A.
Coaches
Hellberg K.	Morrison J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Sarmiento J. ↓, Arfsten M. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Berhalter S. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Lankshear W. ⚽,
61', Diakite O. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Morgan J. ⚽, Price I. (A),
69', McGree R. ↓, Joseph K. ↑,
69', Whittaker M. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
70', Whitwell H. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Lankshear W. ⚽,
77', Myhre F. ↓, Heggebo A. ↑,
77', Molumby J. ↓, Tunde K. ↑,
86', Lankshear W. ↓, Conway T. ↑,
86', Morgan J. ↓, Stewart B. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Jones A. ⚽, Ayling L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 5.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

West Bromwich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, West Bromwich has had a series of away games.

In this match, Middlesbrough is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Coach's decision) Conway T. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in West Bromwich: Johnston M. (Broken Leg)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.3:0.6).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Middlesbrough: 12.09% West Brom: 4.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Middlesbrough	9	5	3	1	17:12	5	18
9	West Brom	9	4	2	3	10:9	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
English League Cup
25.08.26	Doncaster Rovers - Middlesbrough	1:3 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Middlesbrough - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
07.08.26	Middlesbrough - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Middlesbrough - Espanyol	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWT
- West Bromwich Albion
English League Cup
26.08.26	Newcastle United - West Bromwich Albion	3:2 ✺
English League Championship
23.08.26	West Bromwich Albion - Burnley	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Norwich City - West Bromwich Albion	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Rotherham United - West Bromwich Albion	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Peterborough United - West Bromwich Albion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
16.01.26	West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough	2:3
19.09.25	Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion	2:1
21.01.25	Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion	2:0
01.10.24	West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough	0:1
23.12.23	Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion	1:0
26.08.23	West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough	4:2
25.02.23	West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough	2:0

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