Match Info

Championship - Round 10

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bell E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	06:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	16:00	Disney+, N Sports
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 10
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	SupeSport ESPN 1
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Singapore	03:00	mio Sports 1
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	21:00	SupeSport ESPN
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Stoke City		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.50	1.86	Watch
	3.80	3.60	1.93
	3.55	3.60	1.94	Watch
	3.94	3.86	1.94
	3.37	3.75	2.04	Watch
	3.75	3.80	1.93
	3.91	3.60	1.97	Watch
	3.70	3.60	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.55)	3.66 ↑ (3.62)	1.94 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
25.4%

Draw
25.8%

Middlesbrough
48.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.2%

25.7%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.9%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Stoke City - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Middlesbrough (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.67) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johansson V. (C) 2. Johnson B. 16. Wilmot B. 5. Graham L. 22. Tchamadeu J. 27. Soumare D. 8. Galbraith E. 17. Bocat E. 7. McGlynn J. 11. Cisse L. 10. Bae Jun-Ho	1. Vitek R. (G) 12. Ayling L. (C) 4. Phillips A. 29. Malanda A. 2. Brittain C. 6. Berhalter S. 10. Morris A. 30. Neto Borges 11. Cozier-Duberry A. 16. Sarmiento J. 7. Lankshear W.
Substitutes
21. Bombino L. 9. Bozenik R. 13. Devenny J. 23. Gibson B. 24. Griffiths J. (G) 15. Hirst G. 18. Lawal B. 42. Manhoef M. 4. Pearson B.	17. Arfsten M. 18. Barron C. 31. Brynn S. (G) 3. Byram S. 19. Castledine L. 9. Conway T. 22. Joseph K. 8. McGree R. 14. Peart-Harris M.
Coaches
Robins M.	Hellberg K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 3)
48', 0 - 1, Brittain C. ⚽, Cozier-Duberry A. (A),
50', 1 - 1, Neto Borges (Own goal),
51', Berhalter S. 🟨,
64', Berhalter S. ↓, McGree R. ↑,
64', Sarmiento J. ↓, Conway T. ↑,
67', Cisse L. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
67', Bae Jun-Ho ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
68', Graham L. 🟨,
73', 1 - 2, Lankshear W. ⚽,
78', Lankshear W. ↓, Joseph K. ↑,
78', Cozier-Duberry A. ↓, Arfsten M. ↑,
79', Tchamadeu J. ↓, Lawal B. ↑,
79', Bocat E. ↓, Bombino L. ↑,
79', Soumare D. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Bozenik R. ⚽, Hirst G. (A),
90+1', 2 - 3, Neto Borges ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Semi - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 1.

Stoke has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Middlesbrough has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Middlesbrough holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Stoke: Cresswell A. (Knee Injury) Ingelsson S. (Muscle Injury) Talovierov M. (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Middlesbrough: Jones A. (Calf Injury).

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Stoke has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:22 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stoke against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27:17	10	25
9	Stoke	12	6	2	4	18:16	2	20

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Middlesbrough: 12.12%

Last Results with these Odds

Middlesbrough - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.11%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
10.10.26	Bolton Wanderers - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Stoke City - Sheffield United	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Watford - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Cardiff City - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Stoke City - Charlton Athletic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWTW
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
10.10.26	Middlesbrough - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Birmingham City - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
15.09.26	Middlesbrough - Millwall	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Middlesbrough - Norwich City	4:3 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Crystal Palace - Middlesbrough	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
21.01.26	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	1:2
30.09.25	Middlesbrough - Stoke City	0:0
25.02.25	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	1:3
28.09.24	Middlesbrough - Stoke City	2:0
English League Cup
27.08.24	Middlesbrough - Stoke City	0:5
English League Championship
02.03.24	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	2:0
28.10.23	Middlesbrough - Stoke City	0:2

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