Match Info

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Stoke City		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.40	1.96	Watch
	3.60	3.55	1.95
	3.48	3.98	1.99
	3.52	3.84	1.95	Watch
	3.40	3.90	1.93
	3.50	3.68	1.95	Watch
	3.45	3.65	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.55)	3.71 ↑ (3.62)	1.95 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stoke City
26.9%

Draw
25.2%

Middlesbrough
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

25.7%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

26.3%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Stoke City - Middlesbrough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Semi - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 1.

Stoke arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Middlesbrough has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Middlesbrough holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Stoke has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:22 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stoke against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Middlesbrough: 12.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Middlesbrough	9	5	3	1	17:12	5	18
4	Stoke	9	5	1	3	15:13	2	16

Last Results with these Odds

Stoke City - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 26.18%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Middlesbrough - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.11%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
10.10.26	Bolton Wanderers - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Stoke City - Sheffield United	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Watford - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Cardiff City - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Stoke City - Charlton Athletic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWTW
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
10.10.26	Middlesbrough - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Birmingham City - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
15.09.26	Middlesbrough - Millwall	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Middlesbrough - Norwich City	4:3 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Crystal Palace - Middlesbrough	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
21.01.26	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	1:2
30.09.25	Middlesbrough - Stoke City	0:0
25.02.25	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	1:3
28.09.24	Middlesbrough - Stoke City	2:0
English League Cup
27.08.24	Middlesbrough - Stoke City	0:5
English League Championship
02.03.24	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	2:0
28.10.23	Middlesbrough - Stoke City	0:2

Upcoming Matches