Match Info

POLAND: Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)


	Miedź Legnica		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.75	1.57
	5.47	3.86	1.58
	5.53	3.93	1.59	Watch
	5	3.8	1.53
	5.11	3.85	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↓ (5.3)	3.84 ↑ (3.7)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
17.8%

Draw
23.8%

Raków Częstochowa
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

25.1%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

28.7%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raków Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Miedź Legnica - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Miedź will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Raków will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Abramowicz M. (G) 17. Kostka M. 5. Kovacevic A. 3. Grudzinski M. 26. Hartherz F. 8. Chuca 14. Drygas K. (C) 6. Podgorski J. 10. Mioc B. 98. Antonik K. 9. Bogacz W.	1. Trelowski K. (G) 2. Mosor A. 4. Svarnas S. 3. Rundic M. 7. Tudor F. (C) 23. Barath P. 30. Kochergin V. 26. Otieno E. 19. Ameyaw M. 84. Adriano 9. Makuch P.
Substitutes
7. Bida B. 19. Drina A. 11. Drzazga K. 22. Kaczmarski I. 99. Kwiecien B. 27. Letniowski J. 95. Mansfeld M. 20. Tront D. 44. Wrabel J. (G)	5. Berggren G. 15. Diaz J. 21. Drachal D. 12. Kuciak D. (G) 97. Lamprou L. 8. Lederman B. 88. Rodin M. 20. Silva J. 91. Walczak T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Barath P. 🟨,
45+1', Antonik K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Makuch P. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
57', Mosor A. 🟨,
61', Podgorski J. 🟨,
69', Mosor A. ↓, Berggren G. ↑,
69', Drygas K. ↓, Kaczmarski I. ↑,
69', Antonik K. ↓, Drzazga K. ↑,
70', Kostka M. 🟨,
78', Adriano ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
79', Chuca ↓, Letniowski J. ↑,
79', Bogacz W. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
90+3', Diaz J. 🟨,
90+7', Diaz J. ↓, Walczak T. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Svarnas S. (Pen),
1, Mioc B. (Pen),
2, Rundic M. (Pen),
2, Mansfeld M. (Pen),
3, Kochergin V. (Pen),
3, Hartherz F. (Pen),
4, Silva J. (Pen),
4, Bida B. (Pen),
5, Berggren G. (Pen),
5, Drzazga K. (Pen),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
22.09.24	Miedź Legnica - Ruch Chorzów	3:0 ✺
15.09.24	Górnik Łęczna - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
30.08.24	Miedź Legnica - Arka Gdynia	1:2 ✺
22.08.24	Miedź Legnica - Znicz Pruszków	4:0 ✺
17.08.24	Polonia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW
- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.09.24	Raków Częstochowa - Zagłębie Lubin	5:1 ✺
15.09.24	Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
30.08.24	Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	Lechia Gdańsk - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Górnik Zabrze - Raków Częstochowa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.06.24	Raków Częstochowa - Miedź Legnica	Canceled
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.04.23	Miedź Legnica - Raków Częstochowa	0:2
10.10.22	Raków Częstochowa - Miedź Legnica	1:0
Club Friendly
13.07.18	Miedź Legnica - Raków Częstochowa	1:1
03.02.18	Raków Częstochowa - Miedź Legnica	3:3
Polish Division 1
19.11.17	Miedź Legnica - Raków Częstochowa	1:1
29.07.17	Raków Częstochowa - Miedź Legnica	0:0

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