Match Info

Serie A - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	Q League Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bangladesh	01:45	Begin
Belarus	22:45	Sport TV
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	02:45	MyTV
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network, TLN, VIVA
Chile	16:45	Disney+
China	03:45	Migu
Colombia	14:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
India	01:15	ZEE5
Indonesia	02:45	ANTV, Vidio
Iran	23:15	IRIB Varzesh
Iraq	22:45	Almanasa
Israel	21:45	ONE Sport 2
Italy	20:45	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	Qazsport
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 3
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	00:45	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	21:45	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Football
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar 4
Suriname	16:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	DAZN, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	02:45	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	22:45	S Sport 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine, Sport 1
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	15:45	CBS Sports Golazo, CBS Sports Network, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+


	Udinese		Milan

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.70	1.73	Watch
	4.40	3.50	1.82
	4.50	3.60	1.74	Watch
	5.08	3.73	1.78
	4.53	3.67	1.86	Watch
	5.00	3.65	1.75
	5.09	3.76	1.73
	4.55	3.65	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↑ (4.4)	3.66 ↓ (3.68)	1.77 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
20.1%

Draw
26.1%

Milan
53.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.6%

25.8%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

25.6%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	9.4%	81.2%

Udinese - Milan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Milan (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

AH -0.5 - AC Milan (1.82) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.91) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Milan will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.73% – 94.77%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Okoye M. (G) 14. Abankwah J. 27. Kabasele C. 16. Palma M. 23. Vojvoda M. 24. Piotrowski J. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 11. Kamara H. 30. Chakvetadze G. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 9. Davis K.	16. Maignan M. (G) 23. Tomori F. 5. De Winter K. 31. Pavlovic S. 13. Diawara S. 20. Hutchinson O. 14. Modric L. (C) 30. Jashari A. 33. Bartesaghi D. 11. Pulisic C. 9. Ramos G.
Substitutes
20. Arizala J. 13. Bertola N. 77. Ebosse E. 46. Gomez U. 91. Jovanovic L. 4. Lovric S. 38. Miller L. 41. Mrozek B. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 45. Vinciati G. 10. Zaniolo N. 6. Zarraga O.	41. Bouyer L. P. (G) 73. Camarda F. 70. Cisse A. 48. Cisse E. 28. Comotto C. 2. Estupinan P. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 49. Menon L. 80. Musah Y. 40. Ossola L. 47. Perera N. 42. Terracciano F. 96. Torriani L. (G) 35. Vladimirov V. 55. Vos S.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Amorim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Pulisic C. ⚽, Modric L. (A),
39', Ramos G. 🟨,
43', Karlstrom J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Piotrowski J. ↓, Miller L. ↑,
63', Vojvoda M. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
64', Kamara H. ↓, Arizala J. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Hutchinson O. ⚽,
73', Hutchinson O. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
73', Tomori F. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
83', Karlstrom J. ↓, Lovric S. ↑,
83', Davis K. ↓, Vinciati G. ↑,
85', Bartesaghi D. ↓, Cisse E. ↑,
90', Modric L. 🟨,
90+1', Ramos G. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
90+1', Loftus-Cheek R. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 16th and 5th in the Promotion - Europa League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 1.

Udinese has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Milan is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Milan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Milan for this game.

Confirmed absences for Udinese: Alaba D. (Calf Injury) Bayo V. (Thigh Injury) Gueye I. (Ankle Injury) Zanoli A. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Milan: Chukwueze S. (Hip Injury) Gabbia M. (Thigh Injury) Gila M. (Ankle Injury) Moreira D. (Thigh Injury) Rabiot A. (Calf Injury) Saelemaekers A. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Udinese: Solet O. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Udinese has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:30 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Udinese against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 11:17 goals (averaging 1.1:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan	9	5	3	1	18:11	7	18
17	Udinese	9	1	2	6	9:18	-9	5

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AC Milan: 5.25% Udinese: 0.05%

Last Results with these Odds

Udinese - the odds 4.4 are the expected chance of winning is 21.61%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
18.10.26	Udinese - Lecce	0:3 ✺
12.10.26	Torino - Udinese	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Udinese	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.09.26	Udinese - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
14.09.26	Inter Milan - Udinese	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- AC Milan
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Bournemouth - Milan	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.10.26	Milan - Atalanta	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Milan	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.10.26	Sassuolo - Milan	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Milan - Lecce	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
11.04.26	Milan - Udinese	0:3
20.09.25	Udinese - Milan	0:3
11.04.25	Udinese - Milan	0:4
19.10.24	Milan - Udinese	1:0
20.01.24	Udinese - Milan	2:3
04.11.23	Milan - Udinese	0:1
18.03.23	Udinese - Milan	3:1

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