Match Info

Serie A - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Albania	12:30	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	08:30	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	15:30	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	Q League Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	12:30	DAZN
Bangladesh	17:30	Begin
Belarus	14:30	Sport TV
Belgium	12:30	DAZN 1
Bolivia	07:30	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:30	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	08:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	13:30	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	18:30	MyTV
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network
China	19:30	Migu
Croatia	12:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	13:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	12:30	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	12:30	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	06:30	ESPN
Estonia	13:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	13:30	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	12:30	DAZN France
Germany	12:30	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	19:30	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	12:30	Match 4
India	17:00	ZEE5
Indonesia	18:30	Vidio
Iraq	14:30	Almanasa
Israel	13:30	Sport 2
Italy	12:30	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	20:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	12:30	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
Kuwait	14:30	Shasha
Lithuania	13:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Macao	19:30	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	19:30	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	16:30	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	12:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	05:30	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	12:30	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	00:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	12:30	VG+
Peru	06:30	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	12:30	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Romania	13:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	14:30	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	14:30	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	12:30	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	12:30	Sport 1, Voyo
South Africa	13:30	SuperSport Football
South Korea	20:30	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	12:30	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar 4, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 3, Orange Futbol 3
Suriname	08:30	SCCN
Sweden	12:30	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	12:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	18:30	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	12:30	Diwan Sport
Turkey	14:30	S Sport 2
Ukraine	13:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	11:30	DAZN
Uruguay	08:30	Disney+
Usa	07:30	CBS Sports Network, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	07:30	Disney+, ESPN


	Inter Milan		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	1.38	5.25	6.50	Watch
	1.40	5.25	6.75
	1.32	5.40	7.50	Watch
	1.42	5.65	7.40
	1.38	5.6	7.6	Watch
	1.38	5.55	7.15
	1.40	5.39	7.10
	1.40	5.25	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	5.42 ↑ (5)	7.03 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
68.8%

Draw
17.6%

Fiorentina
13.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.6%

18.9%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

18.2%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97.2%	0%	2.8%

Inter Milan - Fiorentina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.44) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (35 of 36 users predict this - 97.22%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Provedel I. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 25. Akanji M. 95. Bastoni A. 17. Diouf A. 23. Barella N. (C) 20. Calhanoglu H. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 30. Carlos Augusto 9. Thuram M. 94. Esposito F.	43. de Gea D. (C) 20. Jimenez A. 3. Dragusin R. 5. Pongracic M. 21. Valdepenas V. 27. Ndour C. 44. Fagioli N. 4. Brescianini M. 30. Mastantuono F. 32. Pellegrino M. 25. Njie A.
Substitutes
14. Bonny A. 46. Bovio L. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 32. Dimarco F. 51. Jakirovic L. 53. Lavelli M. 1. Martinez J. (G) 48. Mosconi M. 99. Spence D. 5. Stankovic A. 8. Sucic P. 7. Zielinski P.	74. Ademi A. 23. Beto 53. Christensen O. (G) 2. Dodo 29. Gnonto W. 42. Inao Oulai C. 17. Joao Mario 19. Lezzerini L. (G) 72. Mazzeo B. 73. Pirro A. 28. Pote 33. Viery
Coaches
Chivu C.	Vanoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Pongracic M. ↓, Viery ↑,
64', Esposito F. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Jimenez A. ⚽, Fagioli N. (A),
70', Viery 🟨,
75', Jimenez A. ↓, Dodo ↑,
75', Mastantuono F. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
77', Bastoni A. ↓, Dimarco F. ↑,
78', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Zielinski P. ↑,
78', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Sucic P. ↑,
82', Njie A. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
83', Pellegrino M. ↓, Beto ↑,
85', Barella N. ↓, Lavelli M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Thuram M. ⚽, Diouf A. (A),
90+7', 2 - 1, Zielinski P. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 18th in the Relegation - Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 3.

Inter is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Fiorentina have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Inter may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Inter has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Inter holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for Inter: Jones C. (Thigh Injury) Luis Henrique (Thigh Injury) Martinez L. (Thigh Injury) Pavard B. (Thigh Injury) Spinacce M. (Inactive) Stones J. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Fiorentina: Atta A. (Abdominal strain) Parisi F. (Knee Injury) Ranieri L. (Leg Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Inter in today's match, at odds of 1.36.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Inter has recorded 12 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:23 (averaging 1.9:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Inter against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:8 goals (averaging 2:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Inter	8	7	1	0	23:10	13	22
18	Fiorentina	8	1	1	6	9:19	-10	4

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 53.18% Fiorentina: 0.18%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Inter Milan - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.10.26	Bologna - Inter Milan	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Inter Milan - Club Brugge	3:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
10.10.26	Inter Milan - Parma	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Inter Milan - Lumezzane	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
18.10.26	Fiorentina - Como	1:3 ✺
10.10.26	Genoa - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Fiorentina - Napoli	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.09.26	Fiorentina - Pisa	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.09.26	Venezia - Fiorentina	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
22.03.26	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	1:1
29.10.25	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	3:0
10.02.25	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	2:1
06.02.25	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	3:0
28.01.24	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	0:1
03.09.23	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	4:0
Coppa Italia
24.05.23	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	1:2

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