Match Info

Serie A - Round 9

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
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Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
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Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
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Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
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Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
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Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	ESPN South
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Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
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Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
Vietnam	ON Football


	Inter Milan		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	8.5	Watch
	1.37	4.95	8.8	Watch
	1.41	5	7.7
	1.39	4.98	7.68	Watch
	1.39	5.1	8.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.37)	5.01 ↑ (4.92)	8.27 ↓ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
69.3%

Draw
19.1%

Fiorentina
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

19.2%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

18.1%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.1%	5.6%	4.2%

Inter Milan - Fiorentina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Inter (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1.5, 1st Half - Inter (4.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, 2nd Half - Inter (3.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Fiorentina (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (64 of 71 users predict this - 90.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.21% – 97.07%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 28 - 90.3%). Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 3.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 25. Akanji M. 31. Bisseck Y. 95. Bastoni A. 2. Dumfries D. 23. Barella N. 20. Calhanoglu H. 8. Sucic P. 32. Dimarco F. 94. Esposito F. 10. Martinez L. (C)	43. de Gea D. (G) 15. Comuzzo P. 18. Mari P. 26. Viti M. 2. Dodo 7. Sohm S. 8. Mandragora R. 27. Ndour C. 21. Gosens R. (C) 10. Gudmundsson A. 20. Kean M.
Substitutes
15. Acerbi F. 5. Alexiou C. 14. Bonny A. 91. Calligaris A. (G) 30. Carlos Augusto 6. de Vrij S. 17. Diouf A. 16. Frattesi D. 90. Lavelli M. 11. Luis Henrique . Mosconi M. . Taho A. (G) 7. Zielinski P.	9. Dzeko E. 44. Fagioli N. 22. Fazzini J. 29. Fortini N. 60. Kouadio E. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 30. Martinelli T. (G) 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 65. Parisi F. 91. Piccoli R. 5. Pongracic M. 6. Ranieri L. 24. Richardson A.
Coaches
Chivu C.	Pioli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Viti M. 🟨,
63', Sohm S. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
63', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
65', Esposito F. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Calhanoglu H. ⚽, Barella N. (A),
71', 2 - 0, Sucic P. ⚽, Martinez L. (A),
76', Mandragora R. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
77', Esposito F. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
77', Dumfries D. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
78', Gosens R. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
85', Barella N. ↓, Zielinski P. ↑,
86', Viti M. 🟨,
88', 3 - 0, Calhanoglu H. (Pen),
89', Bastoni A. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
89', Martinez L. ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 4.

Inter is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fiorentina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Inter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Inter is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Inter: Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Martinez J. (Personal Reasons) Mkhitaryan H. (Muscle Injury) Palacios T. (Thigh Injury) Thuram M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Darmian M. (Calf Injury)

We predict that Inter will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:27. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
25.10.25	Napoli - Inter Milan	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Saint-Gilloise - Inter Milan	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Roma - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Inter Milan - Cremonese	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Inter Milan - Slavia Prague	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
26.10.25	Fiorentina - Bologna	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Rapid Wien - Fiorentina	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.10.25	Milan - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Fiorentina - Roma	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Fiorentina - Sigma Olomouc	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
10.02.25	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	2:1
06.02.25	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	3:0
28.01.24	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	0:1
03.09.23	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	4:0
Coppa Italia
24.05.23	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	1:2
Italian Serie A
01.04.23	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	0:1
22.10.22	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	3:4

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