The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Milan 63.6%
Draw 21.2%
Red Bull Salzburg 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.7%
22.5%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.7%
21.8%
16.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.3%
9.9%
8.8%
Milan - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
Milan will win
(139 of 171 users predict this - 81.29%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.44% – 87.14%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Milan has currently - 7, has not chance of 1st, has a good chance of 2nd (74%), has a chance of 3rd (26%), has a good chance of round of 16 (74%), has a chance of qtrs (24%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Salzburg has currently - 6, has not chance of 1st, has a chance of 2nd (26%), has a good chance of 3rd (69%), has a chance of round of 16 (26%), has a small chance of qtrs (9%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has big quality77, very big importance100, big match rating88. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Milan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Salzburg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Milan is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Milan: Calabria D.
(Thigh Injury)
Florenzi A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ibrahimovic Z.
(Knee Injury)
Saelemaekers A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Salzburg: Capaldo N.
(Injury)
Fernando
(Muscle Injury)
Okoh B.
(Knee Injury)
Omoregie J.
(Muscle Injury)
Tijani S.
(Shin Injury)
There are questionable in Milan: Dest S.
(Injury)
Maignan M.
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Salzburg: Adamu J.
(Thigh Injury)
Koita S.
(Injury)
Solet O.
(Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Milan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Australia
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Bulgaria
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Czech-republic
Denmark
Finland
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Hungary
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United-kingdom
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