The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Milan 28.5%
Draw 29%
Chelsea 42.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
27%
43.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.8%
27.3%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
24.6%
19.5%
55.9%
Milan - Chelsea Predictions
Users Predictions:
118 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 29 - 24.6%). Chelsea will win (votes: 66 - 55.9%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 19.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 46.9% – 64.9%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Milan has currently - 4, has a chance of 1st (30%), has a chance of 2nd (30%), has a chance of 3rd (29%), has a good chance of round of 16 (59%), has a chance of qtrs (26%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Chelsea has currently - 4, has a chance of 1st (35%), has a chance of 2nd (30%), has a chance of 3rd (25%), has a good chance of round of 16 (66%), has a chance of qtrs (36%), has a chance of semis (17%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
This event has big quality81, very big importance100, very big match rating91. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Milan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Chelsea is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Chelsea will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Milan: Calabria D.
(Thigh Injury)
De Ketelaere C.
(Muscle Injury)
Florenzi A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ibrahimovic Z.
(Knee Injury)
Kjaer S.
(Thigh Injury)
Maignan M.
(Calf Injury)
Saelemaekers A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Chelsea: Fofana W.
(Knee Injury)
Kante N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Ziyech H.
(Illness)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Milan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.
Africa
Australia
Austria
Czech-republic
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Italy
Portugal
Romania
Slovenia
United-kingdom
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