Match Info

Serie A - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN 5 South
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus
World	Onefootball


	Milan		Monza

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.5	9.5	Watch
	1.23	6.8	10.5
	1.27	6.9	10.42
	1.29	6.46	9.3	Watch
	1.25	6	9.5
	1.28	7.05	11.2	Watch
	1.25	7	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.24)	6.67 ↑ (6.28)	10.2 ↓ (16.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
76.2%

Draw
14.4%

Monza
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.6%

15.5%

5.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	4.3%	0%

Milan - Monza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Monza (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Milan (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Milan (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Milan will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milan will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Monza (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (C) 23. Tomori F. 46. Gabbia M. 31. Pavlovic S. 80. Musah Y. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 14. Reijnders T. 33. Bartesaghi D. 79. Joao Felix 11. Pulisic C. 9. Jovic L.	21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 13. Pereira P. 5. Caldirola L. (C) 44. Carboni A. 19. Birindelli S. 42. Bianco A. 7. Akpa Akpro J. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 84. Ciurria P. 17. Balde K. 10. Caprari G.
Substitutes
90. Abraham T. 38. Bondo W. 73. Camarda F. 21. Chukwueze S. 22. Emerson Royal 24. Florenzi A. 29. Fofana Y. 19. Hernandez T. 20. Jimenez A. 10. Leao R. 99. Sottil R. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 42. Terracciano F. 28. Thiaw M. 96. Torriani L. (G)	2. Brorsson A. 11. Castrovilli G. 57. Colombo L. 4. Izzo A. 3. Lekovic S. 55. Martins K. 69. Mazza A. (G) 22. Palacios T. 37. Petagna A. 52. Postiglione N. 12. Sensi S. 30. Turati S. (G) 8. Urbanski K. 80. Vignato S. 18. Zeroli K.
Coaches
Costa J.	Nesta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Musah Y. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
46', Jovic L. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
51', Bianco A. 🟨,
61', Bartesaghi D. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Gabbia M. ⚽, Chukwueze S. (A),
70', Ciurria P. ↓, Sensi S. ↑,
70', Caprari G. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Joao Felix ⚽,
79', Caldirola L. ↓, Izzo A. ↑,
79', Balde K. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
80', Joao Felix ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
83', Pizzignacco S. ↓, Mazza A. ↑,
86', Pulisic C. ↓, Florenzi A. ↑,

Preview

Monza is Relegated to Serie B

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 3.

Milan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Monza is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Milan is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Red Card) Hernandez T. (Thigh Injury) Walker K. (Illness)

There will not play in Monza: Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Milan: Bondo W. (Ankle Injury) Chukwueze S. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: D'Ambrosio D. (Ankle Injury) Forson O. (Injury) Gagliardini R. (Injury) Ganvoula S. (Injury) Izzo A. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Milan won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 26:8. (average 2.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:3. (average 3.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
18.05.25	Roma - Milan	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.05.25	Milan - Bologna	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
09.05.25	Milan - Bologna	3:1 ✺
05.05.25	Genoa - Milan	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Venezia - Milan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWW
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
18.05.25	Monza - Empoli	1:3 ✺
11.05.25	Udinese - Monza	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Monza - Atalanta	0:4 ✺
27.04.25	Juventus - Monza	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Monza - Napoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
02.11.24	Monza - Milan	0:1
Club Friendly
13.08.24	Milan - Monza	3:1
Italian Serie A
18.02.24	Monza - Milan	4:2
17.12.23	Milan - Monza	3:0
Club Friendly
08.08.23	Monza - Milan	1:1
Italian Serie A
18.02.23	Monza - Milan	0:1
22.10.22	Milan - Monza	4:1

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