Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg)

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Sport
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Red Bull Salzburg		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.72
	4.5	3.75	1.75
	5	3.75	1.79
	4.6	3.75	1.77
	4.9	3.75	1.79
	4.6	3.7	1.75
	4.7	3.9	1.77
	4.6	3.8	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↑ (4.66)	3.77 ↓ (3.95)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
20.3%

Draw
25.4%

Chelsea
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

24%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

24.8%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Red Bull Salzburg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	13.7%	76%

Red Bull Salzburg - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 146 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 15 - 10.3%). Chelsea will win (votes: 111 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 13.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 69.1% – 82.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Salzburg has currently - 6, has a chance of 1st (27%), has a chance of 2nd (34%), has a chance of 3rd (33%), has a good chance of round of 16 (60%), has a chance of qtrs (24%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Chelsea has currently - 7, has a good chance of 1st (67%), has a chance of 2nd (25%), has a small chance of 3rd (6%), has a good chance of round of 16 (92%), has a good chance of qtrs (51%), has a chance of semis (24%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

This event has big quality 80, importance 66, big match rating 73. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently Salzburg have a series of guest games.

In this match Chelsea is a favorite.

There will not play in Salzburg: Capaldo N. (Injury) Fernando (Muscle Injury) Koita S. (Injury) Okoh B. (Knee Injury) Tijani S. (Shin Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Fofana W. (Knee Injury) James R. (Knee Injury) Kante N. (Hamstring Injury) Koulibaly K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Salzburg: Bernardo (Injury) Kameri D. (Shoulder Injury) Omoregie J. (Muscle Injury) Solet O. (Injury) Sucic L. (Muscle Injury) Ulmer A. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Salzburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Salzburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
22.10.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz	0:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
19.10.22	Admira - Red Bull Salzburg	1:6 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
16.10.22	Austria Wien - Red Bull Salzburg	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.10.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
08.10.22	Rheindorf Altach - Red Bull Salzburg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWTW
- Chelsea
English Premier League
22.10.22	Chelsea - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
19.10.22	Brentford - Chelsea	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	Aston Villa - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.10.22	Milan - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
08.10.22	Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
14.09.22	Chelsea - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1
Club Friendly
31.07.19	Red Bull Salzburg - Chelsea	3:5

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