Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Delgado L. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Millonarios		Cúcuta Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.75	10	Watch
	1.32	4.7	9.8	Watch
	1.3	5.46	10.36
	1.37	4.72	8.2	Watch
	1.25	5	10
	1.29	5.47	9.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.36)	5.18 ↑ (4.46)	9.58 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millonarios
72.1%

Draw
18.1%

Cúcuta Deportivo
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

20.9%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

19.8%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Cúcuta Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Millonarios - Cúcuta Deportivo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Cúcuta (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 50%). Cúcuta (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Novoa D. (G) 2. Sarabia C. 26. Llinas A. 6. Mosquera S. 17. Arias J. 22. Valencia S. 19. Garcia M. 18. Urena R. 14. Silva D. (C) 23. Castro L. 27. Contreras R.	1. Ramirez J. (C) 26. Abonia Y. 4. Quinones J. 44. Cordoba B. 30. Montano B. 3. Calcaterra D. 5. Mejia V. 16. Londono K. 7. Berdugo L. 90. Hernandez L. 11. Arizalas E.
Substitutes
24. Angulo J. 20. Banguero D. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 1. De Amores G. (G) 4. Elizalde E. 35. Mosquera S. 7. Quintero D. 3. Samuel M. 28. Vega S.	24. Abadia F. (G) 80. Albornoz O. 70. Cano A. 27. Duarte Barajas E. M. 6. Orozco S. 9. Peralta J. 19. Valencia J.
Coaches
Bustos F.	Paez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Calcaterra D. 🟨,
32', Londono K. 🟨,
40', Hernandez L. 🟨,
41', Valencia S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cordoba B. ↓, Duarte Barajas E. M. ↑,
46', Arizalas E. ↓, Orozco S. ↑,
49', Mejia V. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Contreras R. ⚽, Urena R. (A),
57', Contreras R. 🟨,
63', Londono K. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
64', Montano B. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
69', Berdugo L. ↓, Cano A. ↑,
72', Valencia S. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
72', Urena R. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
74', Orozco S. 🟨,
77', Contreras R. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
82', Castro L. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
83', Silva D. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽, Quintero D. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 2.

Millonarios is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cúcuta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cúcuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Millonarios is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Millonarios will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Millonarios	14	5	7	2	19:12	7	22
11	Cucuta	12	4	3	5	15:19	-4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millonarios FC
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Atlético Nacional - Millonarios	1:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
26.02.26	Millonarios - Deportivo Pereira	5:1 ✺
21.02.26	Inter Bogotá - Millonarios	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Millonarios - Llaneros SA	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Millonarios - Rionegro Águilas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLWW
- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera A
01.03.26	Deportivo Pasto - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:2 ✺
23.02.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportes Tolima	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Alianza Valledupar - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Rionegro Águilas - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
05.11.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Millonarios	1:1
02.11.23	Millonarios - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:0
Colombian Primera A
30.01.20	Cúcuta Deportivo - Millonarios	1:1
02.10.19	Cúcuta Deportivo - Millonarios	3:1
07.04.19	Millonarios - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:0
31.07.15	Cúcuta Deportivo - Millonarios	1:1
14.02.15	Millonarios - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:0

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