The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Nacional 54.3%
Draw 24.8%
Millonarios 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
27.2%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
26.5%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Atlético Nacional - Millonarios Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Atlético Nacional (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Armani F. (C) 6. Roman A. 3. Parra N. 15. Reyes A. 16. Tesillo W. 22. Cabrera E. 26. Marin F. 99. Poveda I. 80. Zapata J. 7. Moreno M. 17. Arango C.
1. Burrai J. (G) 2. Sarabia C. 4. Barreiro S. (C) 6. Mosquera S. 20. Banguero D. 13. Chaverra F. 24. Angulo J. 28. Vega S. 18. Urena R. 10. Ruiz D. 11. Estupinan A.
Substitutes
20. Casco M. 4. Haydar C. 25. Marquinez L. (G) 30. Parra Atehortua K. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 31. Rios X. 23. Rodriguez J. 24. Rosa J. 29. Sarmiento A.
12. Aguirre J. (G) 17. Arias J. 23. Castro L. 19. Garcia M. 26. Llinas A. 35. Mosquera S. 3. Samuel M. 14. Silva D. 22. Valencia S. 30. Viveros S.
Coaches
Gonzalez L.
Gamero A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Arango C. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
26', Marin F. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Angulo J. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Reyes A. ⚽, Cabrera E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Angulo J. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
55', Zapata J. 🟨,
59', Vega S. 🟨,
60', Zapata J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
67', Moreno M. ↓, Parra Atehortua K. ↑,
67', Ruiz D. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
70', Castro L. 🟨,
82', Cabrera E. 🟨,
85', Sarmiento A. 🟥,
88', Urena R. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 1.
Atlético Nacional is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Millonarios has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Atlético Nacional for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Atlético Nacional in today's match, at odds of 1.77.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Nacional has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:21 (averaging 0.7:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Nacional against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 7:10 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Atl. Nacional
11
7
2
2
21:10
11
23
6
Millonarios
14
5
7
2
19:12
7
22
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Nacional - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49.09%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
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Armani F. (C) 
Roman A. 
Burrai J. (G) 
Urena R. 
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