Match Info

EFL Trophy

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadium MK (Milton Keynes)

Referee: Thomas G. (Eng)


	Milton Keynes Dons		Brentford U21

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.25	5.25
	1.55	4.20	4.20
	1.4	4.3	6.3
	1.4	5.29	6.75
	1.57	4.82	4.57	Watch
	1.36	5.15	6.65
	1.43	5.38	5.38
	1.42	5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (2.18)	4.92 ↑ (3.73)	5.59 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Milton Keynes Dons
64.5%

Draw
18.9%

Brentford U21
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

24.3%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milton Keynes Dons's performance.

Brentford U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brentford U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-20.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milton Keynes Dons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford U21 than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brentford U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Milton Keynes Dons - Brentford U21 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Dennis W. (G) 5. Goode C. 32. Sanders J. 46. Burke J. 24. Wintle R. 17. Silvera S. 7. Crowley D. 26. Wiles B. (C) 47. Troso S. 22. Fullah I. 10. Collins A.	52. Rose R. (G) 66. Wheeler J. 64. Klimas M. 59. Avenell C. (C) 54. Grey A. 63. Picotto L. 62. Shield O. 68. Bentt L. 53. Owen R. 39. Gustavo Nunes 60. Holland I.
Substitutes
4. Barlaser D. 20. Campbell E. 21. Ekpiteta M. 9. Nombe S. 39. Perniskie J. 40. Silver R. 51. Stacey S. (G)	75. Hanson J. O. 92. Nwosu J. 88. Oladapo Gamu J. 72. Powis I. 71. Trimboli A. 65. Wolfheimer C. (G)
Coaches
Warne P.	Saunders S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Goode C. ⚽, Silvera S. (A),
44', Bentt L. ↓, Oladapo Gamu J. ↑,
45+4', 2 - 0, Collins A. ⚽,
45+13', 3 - 0, Collins A. ⚽, Silvera S. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Goode C. ↓, Ekpiteta M. ↑,
46', Crowley D. ↓, Nombe S. ↑,
46', Wintle R. ↓, Barlaser D. ↑,
46', Wiles B. ↓, Silver R. ↑,
46', Klimas M. ↓, Nwosu J. ↑,
46', Gustavo Nunes ↓, Hanson J. O. ↑,
48', 4 - 0, Collins A. ⚽,
52', 5 - 0, Fullah I. ⚽, Burke J. (A),
53', Collins A. ↓, Campbell E. ↑,
59', Avenell C. 🟥,
60', Nombe S. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Wheeler J. 🟨,
72', 6 - 0, Nombe S. ⚽, Fullah I. (A),
76', Rose R. 🟨,
78', 7 - 0, Troso S. ⚽, Fullah I. (A),
87', Holland I. ↓, Giscombe N. ↑,
89', 7 - 1, Giscombe N. ⚽, Shield O. (A),

Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Bookmakers give the edge to MK Dons for this game.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now

Brentford U21: 0.99%

Last Results with these Odds

Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.85%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milton Keynes Dons
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town	4:1 ✺
English League One
17.09.26	AFC Wimbledon - Milton Keynes Dons	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Peterborough United	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Milton Keynes Dons	3:3 ✺
02.09.26	Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTTTL
- Brentford U21
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Bromley - Brentford U21	0:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
18.09.26	Manchester United U21 - Brentford U21	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Brentford U21 - Everton U21	0:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
08.09.26	Hull City U21 - Brentford U21	1:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
31.08.26	Brentford U21 - Sunderland U21	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLTW

Upcoming Matches