Match Info

League One - Round 7

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Eley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	05:00	beIN Connect
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	07:00	beIN Connect
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	AFC Wimbledon		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.60	3.40	2.50
	2.65	3.3	2.52	Watch
	2.8	3.56	2.57
	2.87	3.42	2.36	Watch
	2.65	3.45	2.5
	2.7	3.38	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.91)	3.4 ↑ (3.38)	2.49 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
34.7%

Draw
27.6%

Milton Keynes Dons
37.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

27.4%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.9%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	38.5%	30.8%

AFC Wimbledon - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). MK Dons will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 6.6% – 60%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Bursik J. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 26. Sweeney D. 6. Johnson R. (C) 2. Sessegnon S. 12. Smith A. 5. Harrison O. 3. Seddon S. 8. Maycock C. 21. Hippolyte M. 9. Stockley J.	23. Dennis W. (G) 5. Goode C. 35. Nelson C. 20. Campbell E. 24. Wintle R. 13. Paterson C. 7. Crowley D. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 15. Bramall C. 9. Nombe S. 10. Collins A.
Substitutes
20. McDonnell J. (G) 19. McNeilly D. 10. Nelson Z. 31. Richards D. 29. Sasu A. 15. Simmonds F. 17. Yiadom A.	4. Barlaser D. 21. Ekpiteta M. 22. Fullah I. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R. 2. Jones G. 1. MacGillivray C. (G) 26. Wiles B.
Coaches
Jackson J.	Warne P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Paterson C. 🟨,
30', Johnson R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Bramall C. 🟨,
72', Maycock C. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
72', Harrison O. ↓, Richards D. ↑,
79', Collins A. ↓, Fullah I. ↑,
79', Crowley D. ↓, Wiles B. ↑,
90+3', Jackson J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Wimbledon: Cornick H. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in MK Dons: Wilson K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Wimbledon: Browne M. (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	AFC Wimbledon	11	3	3	5	7:18	-11	12
20	MK Dons	10	1	6	3	11:18	-7	9

Outrights of English League One for now

AFC Wimbledon: 0.44%

Last Results with these Odds

AFC Wimbledon - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 31.8%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.81%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League One
12.09.26	AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Bromley - AFC Wimbledon	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Burton Albion - AFC Wimbledon	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	AFC Wimbledon - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.26	Fulham - AFC Wimbledon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLWL
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League One
12.09.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Peterborough United	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Milton Keynes Dons	3:3 ✺
02.09.26	Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Leicester City	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Huddersfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
25.01.25	Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon	0:0
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon	0:2
English League Two
14.09.24	AFC Wimbledon - Milton Keynes Dons	3:0
02.03.24	AFC Wimbledon - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0
23.01.24	Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon	3:1
English League One
09.04.22	AFC Wimbledon - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1
11.01.22	Milton Keynes Dons - AFC Wimbledon	1:0

Upcoming Matches