Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals

Date: 5 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal Angel Celdran (Cartagena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Mexico	Sky Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ LaLiga 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Minera		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	11	5.5	1.27	Watch
	11	6	1.26
	11	5	1.28	Watch
	10.91	5.2	1.29
	11.06	4.92	1.3	Watch
	12	5.5	1.2
	12	5.65	1.27
	11	5	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.25 ↑ (7.87)	5.35 ↑ (4.68)	1.27 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minera
8.4%

Draw
17.6%

Deportivo Alavés
74.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

19.8%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.4%

19.2%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Alavés's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minera than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Minera - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Minera will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Alavés will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fran Martinez (G) 24. Mas J. 14. Monty 22. Morante D. 3. Juanmi 10. Pujante D. 15. Petcoff D. 19. Perdomo O. 8. Britos C. (C) 23. Pipo 9. Francis	1. Sivera A. (G) 14. Tenaglia N. (C) 4. Sedlar A. 12. Mourino S. 3. Sanchez M. 24. Joan Jordan 8. Blanco A. 7. Vicente C. 18. Guridi J. 11. Martinez T. 9. Villalibre A.
Substitutes
4. Algar J. 11. Baradji S. 17. Cortado S. 7. Feli 5. Molina F. 13. Oliynyk O. (G) 12. Rodriguez M. 18. Sanchis R. 20. Sheffield D. 6. Vera J.	10. Conechny T. 17. Garcia K. 6. Guevara A. 15. Martin C. 13. Owono J. (G) 36. Pica A. 23. Protesoni C. 21. Rebbach A. 20. Romero L. 19. Stoichkov
Coaches
Perez Veiga J.	Coudet E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Mas J. ⚽, Pipo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Guridi J. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
55', Villalibre A. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Garcia K. ⚽, Vicente C. (A),
64', Pujante D. ↓, Cortado S. ↑,
64', Francis ↓, Vera J. ↑,
73', Monty 🟨,
77', Vicente C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
77', Martinez T. ↓, Rebbach A. ↑,
78', Cortado S. 🟨,
79', Blanco A. 🟨,
84', Tenaglia N. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
88', Juanmi ↓, Molina F. ↑,
88', Monty ↓, Sheffield D. ↑,
90+2', Vera J. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
91', Blanco A. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
91', Pipo ↓, Sanchis R. ↑,
91', Molina F. 🟨,
100', Perdomo O. ↓, Baradji S. ↑,
107', 2 - 1, Baradji S. ⚽,
107', Morante D. 🟥,
108', 2 - 2, Garcia K. (Pen),
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Joan Jordan (Pen),
1, Britos C. (Pen),
2, Rebbach A. (Pen),
2, Sanchis R. (Pen),
3, Protesoni C. (Pen),
3, Vera J. (Pen),
4, Conechny T. (Pen),
4, Mas J. (Pen),

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Alavés is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Minera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.12.24	Xerez Deportivo - Minera	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Minera - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Minera - Xerez CD	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	San Fernando - Minera	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Minera - Almeria B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTTL
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.24	Deportivo Alavés - Leganés	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Atlético Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	3:0 ✺
01.11.24	Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.24	Compostela - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWW

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