Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba (Zacatecas)

Referee: Perez Borja D. S. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports


	Mineros de Zacatecas		Alebrijes de Oaxaca

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.75	10
	1.39	4.65	6.3
	1.45	4.93	6.67
	2.52	3.23	2.76	Watch
	1.2	6	12
	1.46	5.01	5.51
	1.18	5.75	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.2)	5.05 ↓ (6.39)	7.61 ↓ (10.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mineros de Zacatecas
67.1%

Draw
19.8%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.1%

14.4%

8.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mineros de Zacatecas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mineros de Zacatecas's form might have worsened.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Mineros de Zacatecas - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mineros de Zacatecas will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Alebrijes de Oaxaca will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duran L. (G) 10. Avila J. (C) 17. De Los Rios S. 21. Espinosa B. 23. Garcia A. 30. Jimenez J. 14. Mazatan O. 18. Mendoza A. 24. Padilla P. 9. Razo L. 15. Villacorta A.	35. Gonzalez Arriaga O. A. (G) 4. Alvarez K. (C) 25. Andrey Marcos 6. Arellano A. 10. Carballo E. 175. Gallinar S. 3. Justo A. 29. Meza S. 8. Morales F. 2. Santos E. 5. Vazquez Garza H. A.
Substitutes
3. Barajas V. 33. Gonzalez F. 11. Lopez F. 4. Marmolejo D. 16. Martinez J. 31. Munoz J. 13. Perez M. 6. Rios P. 8. Trejo E. 22. Valenzuela J. (G)	178. Aguilar Galvan M. E. . Ascencio E. 177. Bustos J. 1. Cruz J. 15. Lopez E. 11. Mascorro H. 20. Mendoza Cendejas E. J. 171. Ramirez L. A. (G) 24. Rojas D. 14. Vazquez Hernandez A.
Coaches
Garcia M.	Alvarado A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Espinosa B. (Own goal),
44', 1 - 1, Razo L. (Pen),
45+4', Espinosa B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Espinosa B. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
46', De Los Rios S. 🟨,
53', 1 - 2, Meza S. ⚽, Morales F. (A),
58', Garcia A. 🟨,
59', Carballo E. 🟨,
60', 2 - 2, Padilla P. ⚽, Avila J. (A),
64', De Los Rios S. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
64', Razo L. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
64', Avila J. ↓, Rios P. ↑,
65', Villacorta A. 🟨,
68', Andrey Marcos ↓, Mascorro H. ↑,
74', Gallinar S. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
79', Jimenez J. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
88', Carballo E. ↓, Aguilar Galvan M. E. ↑,
88', Meza S. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
90+3', Alvarez K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Zacatecas won 2.

Mineros de Zacatecas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mineros de Zacatecas is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Zacatecas won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mineros de Zacatecas won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:10. (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mineros de Zacatecas
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.08.25	Atlético La Paz - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Dorados	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Tlaxcala - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Cruz Azul	2:2 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.05.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTTT
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.08.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cancún	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Atlético Morelia - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	2:2 ✺
11.04.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:0 ✺
04.04.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
17.01.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Mineros de Zacatecas	0:1
02.08.24	Mineros de Zacatecas - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:0
28.02.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:1
11.08.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:1
21.03.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:6
10.08.22	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:2
22.02.22	Mineros de Zacatecas - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:2

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