Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Gregorio "Tepa" Gómez (Tepatitlán)

Referee: Rodriguez A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports
Usa	Aym Sports


	Tepatitlán de Morelos		Alebrijes de Oaxaca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.5	4.05	5.3
	1.42	4.7	7.15
	1.52	4.49	5.52	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5
	1.51	4.05	5.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.45)	4.24 ↓ (4.46)	5.73 ↓ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tepatitlán de Morelos
62.1%

Draw
21.8%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

20.8%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

20.1%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tepatitlán will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez G. (C) 22. Aguilar D. 26. Dominguez I. 10. Guzman W. 19. Islas O. 29. Mendoza B. 2. Pinela M. 11. Reyes J. 6. Ruiz A. 8. Samano Salgado F. 23. Venegas J.	171. Ramirez L. A. (G) 6. Arellano A. 20. Ayala D. 13. Barreda I. 33. Cortes J. (C) 10. Cruz J. 5. Esqueda Romero J. A. 23. Hernandez A. 11. Mascorro H. 2. Vazquez Garza H. A. 14. Vazquez Hernandez A.
Substitutes
7. Escoto A. 18. Gomez J. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 13. Gonzalez Calderon L. A. 5. Gonzalez K. 140. Iniguez O. 33. Martinez A. 21. Moreno Villegas J. A. 20. Samano L. 30. Talavera J.	132. Ascencio E. 19. Fadika B. 21. Franco J. 24. Garcia L. 35. Gonzalez Arriaga O. A. (G) 3. Justo A. 7. Lopez D. 29. Meza S. 22. Ochoa Sanchez J. A. 12. Tamay A.
Coaches
Pereyra G.	Hernandez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', Cortes J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Pinela M. ⚽, Guzman W. (A),
45+3', Hernandez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ruiz A. ↓, Moreno Villegas J. A. ↑,
61', Hernandez A. ↓, Justo A. ↑,
62', Samano Salgado F. ↓, Samano L. ↑,
72', Mascorro H. ↓, Ochoa Sanchez J. A. ↑,
72', Cruz J. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
74', Venegas J. 🟨,
74', Justo A. 🟨,
77', Reyes J. ↓, Escoto A. ↑,
84', Arellano A. ↓, Tamay A. ↑,
84', Vazquez Garza H. A. ↓, Meza S. ↑,
86', Franco J. 🟨,
89', Mendoza B. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Escoto A. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Tepatitlán is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 1.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Alebrijes Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	8:22	-14	10
16	Tepatitlan de Morelos	10	2	0	8	8:29	-21	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
28.03.26	Cancún - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:2 ✺
20.03.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Venados	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Atlético Morelia - Tepatitlán de Morelos	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Mineros de Zacatecas	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Tlaxcala - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLWL
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
27.03.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Leones Negros UdeG	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Atlético La Paz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:0 ✺
13.03.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tapatío	4:3 ✺
07.03.26	Irapuato - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	6:2 ✺
27.02.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.10.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:1
11.04.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:0
27.10.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:2
26.03.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:0
25.10.23	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:1
08.02.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:3
01.09.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:1

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