Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca (Oaxaca de Juárez)


	Alebrijes de Oaxaca		Cancún

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	1.85
	3.45	3.45	1.95
	3.61	3.64	2
	3.26	3.32	2.17	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.91
	3.48	3.45	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.74)	3.43 ↓ (3.48)	1.98 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
26.5%

Draw
26.9%

Cancún
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

26.5%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cancún Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alebrijes de Oaxaca will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cancún will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Gonzalez Arriaga O. A. (G) 4. Alvarez K. (C) 25. Andrey Marcos 6. Arellano A. 177. Bustos J. 10. Carballo E. 3. Justo A. 7. Lopez D. 29. Meza S. 2. Santos E. 14. Vazquez Hernandez A.	1. Andrade C. (G) 7. Alonzo J. 9. Diaz J. 23. Galindo B. (C) 3. Hernandez J. 6. Ochoa I. 17. Padilla E. 12. Rodriguez J. 11. Trejo C. 10. Uscanga P. 30. Zabala L.
Substitutes
178. Aguilar Galvan M. E. 1. Cruz J. 175. Gallinar S. 15. Lopez E. 11. Mascorro H. 20. Mendoza Cendejas E. J. 8. Morales F. 171. Ramirez L. A. (G) 24. Rojas D. 5. Vazquez Garza H. A.	26. Arce E. (G) 14. Campos K. 5. Chavez A. 8. Melendre F. 18. Montiel S. 4. Reyes R. 28. Solano A. 22. Soria E. 24. Unjanque J.
Coaches
Alvarado A.	Bravo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Diaz J. ⚽, Trejo C. (A),
29', Trejo C. 🟨,
36', Zabala L. 🟨,
39', Santos E. 🟨,
45+5', Padilla E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vazquez Hernandez A. ↓, Vazquez Garza H. A. ↑,
46', Lopez D. ↓, Mascorro H. ↑,
49', Justo A. 🟨,
56', Vazquez Garza H. A. 🟨,
57', Trejo C. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
59', Diaz J. 🟨,
66', Galindo B. 🟨,
66', Carballo E. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
75', Uscanga P. ↓, Reyes R. ↑,
75', Rodriguez J. ↓, Unjanque J. ↑,
76', Alonzo J. 🟨,
79', Bustos J. ↓, Mendoza Cendejas E. J. ↑,
79', Justo A. ↓, Morales F. ↑,
84', Unjanque J. (Pen),
87', Diaz J. ↓, Campos K. ↑,
87', Padilla E. ↓, Melendre F. ↑,
90+2', Mendoza Cendejas E. J. 🟨,
90+8', Chavez A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 1.

Cancún may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cancún will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
09.08.25	Atlético Morelia - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	2:2 ✺
11.04.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:0 ✺
04.04.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Celaya - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL
- Cancún FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
09.08.25	Cancún - Tlaxcala	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Dorados - Cancún	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Cancún - Atlético La Paz	4:1 ✺
12.04.25	Atlético Morelia - Cancún	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Cancún - Tapatío	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.01.25	Cancún - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:0
10.08.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cancún	0:2
16.01.24	Cancún - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:0
14.10.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cancún	2:5
07.04.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cancún	1:0
16.08.22	Cancún - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	0:0
05.01.22	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cancún	2:0

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