Match Info

MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba (Zacatecas)

Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	TVC Deportes


	Mineros de Zacatecas		Celaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.13	3.1	3.15	Watch
	2.21	3.35	3.49
	2.16	3.25	3.39	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.09	3.34	3.29	Watch
	2.13	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.1)	3.21 ↑ (3.19)	3.28 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mineros de Zacatecas
43%

Draw
28.8%

Celaya
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.7%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

29.2%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mineros de Zacatecas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Mineros de Zacatecas - Celaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mineros de Zacatecas will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duran L. (G) 11. Avila J. 8. Figueroa B. 23. Garcia A. 30. Jimenez J. 19. Magana K. 18. Mendoza A. (C) 6. Pena R. 9. Razo L. 5. Rodarte J. 15. Villacorta A.	1. Hernandez H. (G) 22. Baltazar C. 7. Barragan M. 25. Blanco D. 2. Cervantes D. (C) 6. Del Angel E. 8. de los Santos L. 10. Dominguez A. 28. Gamboa J. 14. Manriquez S. 3. Monreal E.
Substitutes
27. Calero J. 17. Castillo E. P. 22. Clemente J. 4. Marmolejo D. 33. Mata F. (G) 14. Mazatan O. 20. Padilla G. 24. Padilla P. 7. Preciado A. 87. Torres J.	29. Espinoza G. (G) 16. Garcia J. 136. Luna E. G. 18. Recalde B. 9. Sanchez A. 11. Tejeda D. 5. Topete N. 20. Tovar J.
Coaches
Garcia M.	Blanco Soto S. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Mendoza A. ⚽,
24', Dominguez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dominguez A. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
62', Blanco D. ↓, Tovar J. ↑,
63', Razo L. ↓, Calero J. ↑,
64', Del Angel E. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
66', Garcia A. 🟨,
71', Avila J. 🟨,
76', Figueroa B. ↓, Clemente J. ↑,
76', Magana K. ↓, Padilla P. ↑,
76', Gamboa J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
81', Clemente J. 🟨,
84', 2 - 0, Padilla P. ⚽,
86', Monreal E. 🟨,
88', Jimenez J. ↓, Castillo E. P. ↑,
88', Avila J. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
90+5', Tejeda D. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mineros de Zacatecas won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Mineros de Zacatecas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Mineros de Zacatecas won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:26 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Mineros de Zacatecas won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:6 (average 1.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mineros de Zacatecas
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
23.02.25	Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Jaiba Brava	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Tlaxcala - Mineros de Zacatecas	3:3 ✺
01.02.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Cancún	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Leones Negros UdeG	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTTT
- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.02.25	Celaya - Tepatitlán de Morelos	3:1 ✺
12.02.25	Atlético La Paz - Celaya	2:3 ✺
08.02.25	Celaya - Correcaminos UAT	4:1 ✺
01.02.25	Dorados - Celaya	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Celaya - Venados	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
14.09.24	Celaya - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:0
03.04.24	Mineros de Zacatecas - Celaya	2:2
19.09.23	Celaya - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:3
05.04.23	Celaya - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:1
24.06.22	Mineros de Zacatecas - Celaya	1:0
30.03.22	Celaya - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:1
26.10.21	Mineros de Zacatecas - Celaya	3:1

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