Match Info

MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Dorados (Culiacán)

Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Hi! Sports


	Dorados		Celaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.65
	4.33	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.74	4.04	1.75
	4.31	3.84	1.75	Watch
	3.7	3.5	1.85
	4.17	4.07	1.71	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (3.31)	3.79 ↑ (3.62)	1.74 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorados
21.9%

Draw
24.5%

Celaya
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

25.5%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorados's form might have worsened.

Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celaya's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Dorados - Celaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dorados will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Celaya will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Castro J. (G) 8. Cortes J. 12. Egana A. 24. Fernandez J. 17. Leyva C. 34. Martinez J. 7. Peralta J. 9. Ramirez J. 23. Reyes J. (C) 32. Vargas L. 2. Yanez S.	1. Hernandez H. (G) 22. Baltazar C. 7. Barragan M. 2. Cervantes D. (C) 6. Del Angel E. 8. de los Santos L. 10. Dominguez A. 28. Gamboa J. 14. Manriquez S. 4. Munoz J. 20. Tovar J.
Substitutes
10. Bonilla Corbo E. 22. Carrillo M. 160. Castro J. 14. Felix F. 5. Flores A. 15. Galicia C. 18. Higuera C. (G) 133. Nevarez K. 172. Olivas Gutierrez J. 137. Rodriguez A.	25. Blanco D. 29. Espinoza G. (G) 16. Garcia J. 21. Hernandez P. 3. Monreal E. 9. Sanchez A. 11. Tejeda D.
Coaches
Abreu S.	Blanco Soto S. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Cervantes D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Del Angel E. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
46', Manriquez S. ↓, Hernandez P. ↑,
62', Reyes J. 🟨,
65', Dominguez A. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
65', Cervantes D. ↓, Monreal E. ↑,
67', Yanez S. 🟨,
71', Monreal E. 🟨,
74', Barragan M. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
82', Ramirez J. ↓, Felix F. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Tovar J. ⚽,
90+3', Leyva C. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dorados won 0.

Dorados could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Celaya will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Dorados won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 21:32 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Dorados won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:14 (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
19.01.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Dorados	4:0 ✺
11.01.25	Dorados - Mineros de Zacatecas	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Atlante - Dorados	3:0 ✺
07.11.24	Dorados - Atlante	3:1 ✺
02.11.24	Dorados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWW
- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.01.25	Celaya - Venados	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Atlante - Celaya	3:0 ✺
23.11.24	Tapatío - Celaya	3:2 ✺
20.11.24	Celaya - Tapatío	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Atlante - Celaya	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
18.08.24	Celaya - Dorados	3:1
06.02.24	Celaya - Dorados	3:1
25.10.23	Dorados - Celaya	1:4
08.02.23	Celaya - Dorados	4:2
02.08.22	Dorados - Celaya	0:1
22.03.22	Dorados - Celaya	0:2
02.11.21	Celaya - Dorados	2:2

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