Match Info

MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés (Celaya)

Referee: Ramirez Gutierrez E. A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes
Venezuela	Inter


	Celaya		Venados

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.1	5.5
	1.5	4.33	5.5
	1.5	4.42	6.03
	1.5	4.3	5.97	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.53	4.18	5.72	Watch
	1.5	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (2.2)	4.27 ↑ (3.36)	5.75 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celaya
62.2%

Draw
21.7%

Venados
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

27.5%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celaya's performance.

Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Venados might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Celaya - Venados Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Celaya will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Venados will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celaya: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hernandez H. (G) 22. Baltazar C. 7. Barragan M. 2. Cervantes D. 6. Del Angel E. 8. de los Santos L. 10. Dominguez A. 28. Gamboa J. 14. Manriquez S. 4. Munoz J. 20. Tovar J.	31. Gudino R. (G) 8. Calzadilla L. 2. Casillas J. 19. Catalan A. 4. Grijalva A. 10. Guzman W. 6. Lopez F. 21. Lopez F. 29. Lora S. 5. Miranda J. 33. Vidrio N.
Substitutes
25. Blanco D. 29. Espinoza G. (G) 16. Garcia J. 21. Hernandez P. 30. Kassi A. 136. Luna E. G. 3. Monreal E. 9. Sanchez A. 11. Tejeda D. 5. Topete N.	18. Amador K. 146. Andrade C. 32. Espinosa E. 17. Garcia M. 149. Gatica M. 11. Madrid W. 1. Reyes D. (G) 30. Sandoval H. 25. Trejo Castro M. A.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.	Esparza R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Miranda J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Miranda J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
57', Grijalva A. ↓, Trejo Castro M. A. ↑,
61', Del Angel E. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
66', Guzman W. ↓, Espinosa E. ↑,
66', Lora S. ↓, Madrid W. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, de los Santos L. ⚽,
71', Baltazar C. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
75', Dominguez A. 🟨,
81', Barragan M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
81', Dominguez A. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
83', Calzadilla L. ↓, Amador K. ↑,
86', Cervantes D. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Trejo Castro M. A. ⚽,
90+2', Madrid W. 🟨,
90+4', Gudino R. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 2.

In this match Celaya is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Celaya won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32:18 (average 1.6:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:7 (average 1.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.01.25	Atlante - Celaya	3:0 ✺
23.11.24	Tapatío - Celaya	3:2 ✺
20.11.24	Celaya - Tapatío	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Atlante - Celaya	0:3 ✺
14.11.24	Celaya - Atlante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLWT
- Venados FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
17.01.25	Venados - Jaiba Brava	1:2 ✺
10.01.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Venados	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Celaya - Venados	4:1 ✺
06.11.24	Venados - Celaya	3:4 ✺
01.11.24	Venados - Leones Negros UdeG	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
09.11.24	Celaya - Venados	4:1
06.11.24	Venados - Celaya	3:4
09.08.24	Venados - Celaya	1:1
05.03.24	Celaya - Venados	0:2
16.09.23	Venados - Celaya	1:0
25.03.23	Celaya - Venados	2:1
14.07.22	Venados - Celaya	3:2

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