Match Info

MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés (Celaya)

Referee: Rodriguez A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Hi! Sports


	Celaya		Correcaminos UAT

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.24	5.75	8
	1.25	5.5	9.5	Watch
	1.27	5.87	9.76
	1.29	5.45	9.64	Watch
	1.22	5.5	11
	1.31	5.26	8.66	Watch
	1.25	5.5	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.28)	5.55 ↑ (5.5)	9.44 ↑ (8.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celaya
73.5%

Draw
16.7%

Correcaminos UAT
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.3%

16.8%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Celaya - Correcaminos UAT Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hernandez H. (G) 22. Baltazar C. 7. Barragan M. 2. Cervantes D. (C) 6. Del Angel E. 8. de los Santos L. 10. Dominguez A. 28. Gamboa J. 21. Hernandez P. 4. Munoz J. 20. Tovar J.	1. Castellanos R. (G) 5. Capeluto J. M. 7. Cisneros D. (C) 11. Espinosa Y. 9. Flores A. 10. Hernandez E. 3. Pereyra J. 31. Salas F. 15. Salazar A. 17. Tede F. 19. Trevino S.
Substitutes
172. Ambriz G. 25. Blanco D. 156. Chaurand K. 29. Espinoza G. (G) 30. Kassi A. 3. Monreal E. 9. Sanchez A. 11. Tejeda D. 5. Topete N. 132. Velazquez Ch.	35. Chavez L. (G) 20. Estopier J. 82. Gamez J. 23. Hernandez D. 27. Martinez J. 2. Pineda I. 16. Rosas O. 91. Sarmiento M. 34. Velazquez H. 33. Zapata M.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.	Eugui H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Castellanos R. 🟨,
37', Cervantes D. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Barragan M. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Espinosa Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Barragan M. ⚽,
54', 3 - 1, Gamboa J. ⚽,
58', Cervantes D. ↓, Monreal E. ↑,
60', Espinosa Y. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
60', Salazar A. ↓, Pineda I. ↑,
63', 4 - 1, Baltazar C. ⚽,
69', Hernandez P. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
69', Dominguez A. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
78', Baltazar C. ↓, Kassi A. ↑,
78', Gamboa J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
80', Cisneros D. ↓, Velazquez H. ↑,
90+2', Velazquez H. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', Barragan M. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 3.

Celaya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Celaya is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Celaya won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29:20 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:7 (average 1.4:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
01.02.25	Dorados - Celaya	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Celaya - Venados	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Atlante - Celaya	3:0 ✺
23.11.24	Tapatío - Celaya	3:2 ✺
20.11.24	Celaya - Tapatío	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TTLLL
- Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.01.25	Correcaminos UAT - Jaiba Brava	2:1 ✺
24.01.25	Atlético La Paz - Correcaminos UAT	1:1 ✺
16.01.25	Correcaminos UAT - Tlaxcala	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Cancún - Correcaminos UAT	2:1 ✺
24.10.24	Correcaminos UAT - Tapatío	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.08.24	Correcaminos UAT - Celaya	1:1
25.01.24	Celaya - Correcaminos UAT	2:0
06.10.23	Correcaminos UAT - Celaya	0:1
12.04.23	Correcaminos UAT - Celaya	0:1
16.10.22	Celaya - Correcaminos UAT	0:3
22.02.22	Celaya - Correcaminos UAT	1:1
28.09.21	Correcaminos UAT - Celaya	1:0

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