Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - APERTURA - ROUND 14

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Mineros de Zacatecas		Cimarrones de Sonora

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.7	3.3
	1.87	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.89	4.08	3.72
	1.88	4.08	3.72
	1.75	3.9	3.5
	1.82	3.8	3.72
	1.93	3.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.49)	3.84 ↑ (3.32)	3.57 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mineros de Zacatecas
50%

Draw
24.1%

Cimarrones de Sonora
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.8%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mineros de Zacatecas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mineros de Zacatecas's performance.

Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cimarrones de Sonora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mineros de Zacatecas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cimarrones de Sonora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Mineros de Zacatecas - Cimarrones de Sonora Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mineros de Zacatecas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cimarrones de Sonora will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Gonzalez Arriaga O. A. (G) 11. Avila J. 10. Blanco J. 22. Clemente J. 8. Figueroa B. 14. Mazatan O. 18. Mendoza A. 6. Plascencia F. 9. Razo L. 7. Sanchez C. 24. Torres H.	30. Espinoza G. (G) 6. Arellano A. 17. Cisneros D. 11. Jimenez D. 21. Lopez F. 3. Manriquez S. 14. Monarrez F. 4. Monreal E. 20. Navarro B. 7. Peralta J. 23. Reyes J.
Substitutes
4. Aguirre C. 29. Chaurand K. 1. Duran L. (G) 21. Jaquez P. 19. Magana K. 95. Pinon D. 26. Urbina C. 20. Vasquez D.	28. Bernal A. 25. Castro E. (G) 5. Haro J. 99. Melendez J. 111. Molina P. 172. Orrantia E. 19. Ortiz C. 24. Rodriguez J. 18. Rodriguez Leyva C. S. 13. Saavedra J.
Coaches
Castro N.	Hernandez R.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mineros de Zacatecas won 1.

Mineros de Zacatecas is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cimarrones de Sonora is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mineros de Zacatecas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Mineros de Zacatecas won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Mineros de Zacatecas won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mineros de Zacatecas
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.10.23	Atlético La Paz - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:4 ✺
04.10.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Venados	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Mineros de Zacatecas	3:2 ✺
19.09.23	Celaya - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:3 ✺
13.09.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Atlante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWLWW
- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.10.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Correcaminos UAT	0:1 ✺
05.10.23	Tapatío - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:2 ✺
26.09.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlético Morelia	3:2 ✺
19.09.23	Cancún - Cimarrones de Sonora	5:2 ✺
05.09.23	Celaya - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.04.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:2
12.07.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Zacatecas	3:0
06.04.22	Mineros de Zacatecas - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1
02.11.21	Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:3
07.04.21	Mineros de Zacatecas - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:2
29.09.20	Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:3
21.09.19	Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Zacatecas	0:0

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