Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - APERTURA - ROUND 10

Date: 19 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo (Cancún)

Referee: Meza Méndez Á. (Mex)


	Cancún		Cimarrones de Sonora

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.26	3.21	3.44
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.14	3.3	3.28
	2.2	3.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.37)	3.21 ↓ (3.23)	3.21 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cancún
42.3%

Draw
28.9%

Cimarrones de Sonora
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28.9%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

28.9%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cancún - Cimarrones de Sonora Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cancún will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Resendez E. (G) 6. Ortega W. 19. Garcia E. 23. Galindo B. (C) 7. Alonzo J. 14. Vazquez J. 22. Castillo R. 28. Moreira J. 25. Tamay A. 12. Rodriguez J. 27. Traore C.	30. Espinoza G. (G) 2. Vazquez Garza H. A. 3. Manriquez S. 13. Saavedra J. (C) 23. Reyes J. 24. Rodriguez J. 6. Arellano A. 14. Monarrez F. 17. Cisneros D. 21. Lopez F. 7. Peralta J.
Substitutes
29. Amoustapha K. 1. Andrade C. (G) 20. Arreola A. 18. Eguade G. 87. Gonzalez Diaz J. D. 84. Hernandez J. 2. Padilla A. 11. Sanchez A. 100. Sanchez Ramirez L. 10. Uscanga P.	8. Acuna F. 25. Castro E. (G) 5. Haro J. 11. Jimenez D. 99. Melendez J. 111. Molina P. 20. Navarro B. 172. Orrantia E. 19. Ortiz C. 18. Rodriguez Leyva C. S.
Coaches
Arce L.	Hernandez R.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cancún won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cimarrones de Sonora could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cancún will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cancún won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cancún won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cancún FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.09.23	Atlético La Paz - Cancún	1:4 ✺
06.09.23	Cancún - Tlaxcala	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Cancún	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Cancún - Atlético Morelia	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Dorados - Cancún	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWL
- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
05.09.23	Celaya - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
30.08.23	Atlético La Paz - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:1 ✺
23.08.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:2 ✺
18.08.23	Tlaxcala - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlante	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.03.23	Cancún - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:2
27.07.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Cancún	0:0
29.03.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Cancún	0:1
26.10.21	Cancún - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:2
19.01.21	Cancún - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:0
27.08.20	Cimarrones de Sonora - Cancún	2:1

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