Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - APERTURA - ROUND 13

Date: 13 October 2023, Friday


	Cimarrones de Sonora		Correcaminos UAT

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.5	3
	1.95	3.75	3.4	Watch
	1.97	3.85	3.6
	1.91	3.75	3.1
	1.92	3.7	3.44
	2.02	3.65	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.94)	3.7 ↑ (3.59)	3.27 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cimarrones de Sonora
47.1%

Draw
24.8%

Correcaminos UAT
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

25.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

25.4%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Correcaminos UAT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Cimarrones de Sonora - Correcaminos UAT Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cimarrones de Sonora will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Correcaminos will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cimarrones de Sonora: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Espinoza G. (C) 3. Manriquez S. 23. Reyes J. 6. Arellano A. 14. Monarrez F. 17. Cisneros D. 19. Ortiz C. 20. Navarro B. 21. Lopez F. 7. Peralta J. 11. Jimenez D.	22. Sanchez A. (G) 3. Lopez L. 4. Torres Chavez V. G. 13. Moreno G. 12. Espinosa Y. 17. Tede F. 10. Sanchez Lopez J. A. (C) 7. Hernandez E. 11. Amador D. 23. Hernandez D. 9. Moragrega V.
Substitutes
33. Angulo O. 28. Bernal A. 25. Castro E. (G) 5. Haro J. 16. Lopez D. 99. Melendez J. 111. Molina P. 172. Orrantia E. 18. Rodriguez Leyva C. S. 175. Ruiz I.	18. Alba R. 1. Andrade A. (G) 27. Angulo J. 8. Chavez A. 5. Diaz J. 29. Medellin S. 21. Ortega A. 2. Pineda I. 31. Salas F. 15. Salazar A.
Coaches
Hernandez R.	Solano E.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cimarrones de Sonora could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cimarrones de Sonora have a series of guest games.

Recently Correcaminos have a series of home games.

Cimarrones de Sonora will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Cimarrones de Sonora won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
05.10.23	Tapatío - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:2 ✺
26.09.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlético Morelia	3:2 ✺
19.09.23	Cancún - Cimarrones de Sonora	5:2 ✺
05.09.23	Celaya - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
30.08.23	Atlético La Paz - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLTL
- Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
06.10.23	Correcaminos UAT - Celaya	0:1 ✺
20.09.23	Correcaminos UAT - Leones Negros UdeG	1:2 ✺
13.09.23	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Correcaminos UAT	2:1 ✺
05.09.23	Correcaminos UAT - Atlante	1:0 ✺
29.08.23	Correcaminos UAT - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
26.04.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Correcaminos UAT	1:0
01.03.23	Correcaminos UAT - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:0
28.09.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Correcaminos UAT	2:1
29.01.22	Correcaminos UAT - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:2
17.11.21	Cimarrones de Sonora - Correcaminos UAT	0:1
13.04.21	Cimarrones de Sonora - Correcaminos UAT	2:0
22.09.20	Correcaminos UAT - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:1

Upcoming Matches