Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba (Zacatecas)

Referee: Ramirez Gutierrez E. A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports
Usa	Aym Sports


	Mineros de Zacatecas		Tapatío

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.25	Watch
	1.69	4.03	4.63
	1.91	3.81	3.6	Watch
	1.62	3.75	4.5
	1.69	4.07	4.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.81)	3.88 ↑ (3.76)	4.26 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mineros de Zacatecas
54.1%

Draw
24%

Tapatío
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.8%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

24.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mineros de Zacatecas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mineros de Zacatecas - Tapatío Predictions

Users Predictions: Mineros de Zacatecas will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duran L. (G) 2. Cervantes L. 17. De Los Rios S. 23. Garcia A. 12. Hernandez L. 11. Lopez F. 19. Magana K. 4. Marmolejo D. 18. Mendoza A. (C) 13. Perez M. 8. Trejo E.	30. Garcia E. (G) 63. Cendejas M. 46. Egurrola L. 55. Esparza S. 57. Hernandez J. 60. Ledesma L. 49. Moragrega V. 43. Parra R. 53. Soldati C. 62. Tellez B. 44. Zamora S. (C)
Substitutes
10. Avila J. 3. Barajas V. 20. Castro Garcia W. D. 96. Flores Sanchez C. A. 9. Machado J. 14. Mazatan O. 102. Montes J. 6. Rios P. 22. Valenzuela J. (G) 15. Villacorta A.	200. Corona C. 54. Freyfeld E. 256. Garcia Elizarraras K. 66. Guzman Rodriguez J. L. 71. Montiel Herrera E. A. (G) 203. Nuno R. 47. Ortiz G. 195. Rosales D. 224. Torres Hurtado L.
Coaches
Munoz L.	Melendez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Perez M. ⚽, Lopez F. (A),
37', Magana K. 🟨,
41', Zamora S. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Moragrega V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Egurrola L. ↓, Ortiz G. ↑,
46', Cendejas M. ↓, Nuno R. ↑,
53', Lopez F. ↓, Montes J. ↑,
57', Soldati C. ↓, Freyfeld E. ↑,
65', Perez M. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
65', Trejo E. ↓, Rios P. ↑,
65', Esparza S. ↓, Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Montes J. ⚽,
77', Hernandez J. 🟨,
79', De Los Rios S. ↓, Villacorta A. ↑,
79', Cervantes L. ↓, Mazatan O. ↑,
80', Zamora S. ↓, Torres Hurtado L. ↑,
86', Parra R. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Zacatecas won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Mineros de Zacatecas is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Zacatecas won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mineros de Zacatecas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Zacatecas Mineros	11	5	2	4	23:19	4	17
10	Tapatio	11	4	2	5	19:19	0	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mineros de Zacatecas
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.03.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:3 ✺
13.03.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Jaiba Brava	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Mineros de Zacatecas	4:0 ✺
27.02.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Venados	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Cancún - Mineros de Zacatecas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWL
- CD Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.03.26	Tapatío - Atlético Morelia	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tapatío	4:3 ✺
06.03.26	Tapatío - Cancún	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Correcaminos UAT - Tapatío	2:2 ✺
13.02.26	Tapatío - Jaiba Brava	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
19.10.25	Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:3
23.02.25	Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas	0:1
06.09.24	Mineros de Zacatecas - Tapatío	3:1
18.01.24	Mineros de Zacatecas - Tapatío	0:4
07.09.23	Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:0
19.04.23	Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:2
20.10.22	Mineros de Zacatecas - Tapatío	1:0

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