Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: I Liqa - Round 23

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday


	Mingachevir		İrəvan

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4
	1.66	3.85	4.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2)	3.68 ↑ (3.56)	4.28 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mingachevir
54.1%

Draw
24.7%

İrəvan
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

26%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

22.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mingachevir's performance.

İrəvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İrəvan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mingachevir that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İrəvan than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İrəvan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mingachevir - İrəvan Predictions

Users Predictions: Mingachevir will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Farmanov T. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Mingachevir is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mingachevir won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Mingachevir won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan First Division
17.04.24	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	3:1 ✺
11.04.24	Shamakhi - Mingachevir	0:0 ✺
03.04.24	Mingachevir - İmişli	0:1 ✺
28.03.24	Araz Saatlı - Mingachevir	4:0 ✺
14.03.24	Mingachevir - Karvan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLLW
- İrəvan FK
Azerbaijan First Division
17.04.24	İrəvan - Shamakhi	2:6 ✺
10.04.24	İmişli - İrəvan	3:2 ✺
04.04.24	İrəvan - Araz Saatlı	1:4 ✺
28.03.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - İrəvan	3:0 ✺
14.03.24	İrəvan - Zagatala	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
22.02.24	İrəvan - Mingachevir	1:0
01.11.23	Mingachevir - İrəvan	0:2

Mingachevir - İrəvan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide