Match Info

Lithuanian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Kretinga Stadium (Kretinga)


	Minija Kretinga		Sūduva Marijampolė

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.75	1.7
	3.55	3.65	1.69
	4.06	3.94	1.69	Watch
	4	3.5	1.67
	4.27	3.74	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.72)	3.72 ↑ (3.7)	1.68 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Minija Kretinga
22.7%

Draw
24.1%

Sūduva Marijampolė
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

24.5%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

25.3%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minija Kretinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Minija Kretinga - Sūduva Marijampolė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Pipiras D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Seck I. ⚽,
54', 2 - 1, Nwegbo D. ⚽,
83', 2 - 2, Beneta M. ⚽,
90+4', Beneta M. 🟥,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Lee Min-Woo (Penalty Awarded),
1, Lawson S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Komissarov N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Steponavicius F. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kasparavicius J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Baltrunas Z. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Amirzian S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mikulenas M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Takei R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Sanokho S. M. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Sidibe M. A. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Seck I. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Minija is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sūduva is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sūduva is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Minija won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Including home match between the teams, Minija won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Division 2
25.04.26	Minija Kretinga - FA Šiauliai B	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Minija Kretinga	0:4 ✺
04.04.26	Minija Kretinga - Ekranas	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Minija Kretinga	2:3 ✺
18.03.26	Minija Kretinga - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
25.04.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Džiugas Telšiai	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Riteriai	5:0 ✺
21.03.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Cup
15.07.20	Minija Kretinga - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:3

Upcoming Matches