Match Info

MLS

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: BC Place (Vancouver, BC)

Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV International


	Vancouver Whitecaps		Minnesota United

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.7	6.9
	1.48	4.85	6.73
	1.45	4.75	6.58	Watch
	1.44	4.4	6
	1.47	4.84	7.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.51)	4.67 ↑ (4.35)	6.62 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vancouver Whitecaps
65.3%

Draw
20.3%

Minnesota United
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

21.6%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

20.7%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vancouver Whitecaps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Vancouver Whitecaps - Minnesota United Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vancouver will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Minnesota will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vancouver: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vancouver (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Minnesota (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Vancouver (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vancouver (votes: 3 - 75%). Minnesota (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Takaoka Y. (G) 18. Ocampo E. 2. Laborda M. 6. Priso R. 29. Gherasimencov M. 16. Berhalter S. 20. Cubas A. 11. Sabbi E. 59. Badwal J. 22. Jackson A. 24. White B. (C)	12. Callender D. (G) 28. Diaz J. 67. Harvey C. 23. Duggan M. 2. Padelford D. 20. Trapp W. (C) 25. Triantis N. 26. Pereyra J. 3. Duncan K. 9. Yeboah K. 8. Chancalay T.
Substitutes
32. Boehmer I. (G) 17. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 41. Djordjevic N. 19. Elloumi R. 28. Johnson T. 8. Larraz O. 13. Muller T. 7. Sabaly C. 15. Schonlau S.	29. Dieng M. 30. Gene O. 24. Gressel J. 21. Hlongwane B. 13. Markanich A. 10. Rodriguez J. 5. Romero N. 1. Smir A. (G) 27. Taylor D.
Coaches
Sorensen J.	Knowles C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Berhalter S. (Penalty Awarded),
13', 2 - 0, White B. ⚽, Sabbi E. (A), Berhalter S. (A2)
22', 3 - 0, Laborda M. ⚽,
43', 4 - 0, Sabbi E. ⚽, Berhalter S. (A),
45+4', Diaz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Harvey C. ↓, Taylor D. ↑,
46', Duncan K. ↓, Hlongwane B. ↑,
54', 5 - 0, White B. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Cubas A. 🟨,
64', Chancalay T. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
64', Triantis N. ↓, Gene O. ↑,
65', Berhalter S. ↓, Larraz O. ↑,
65', Sabbi E. ↓, Sabaly C. ↑,
65', Ocampo E. ↓, Schonlau S. ↑,
74', Taylor D. 🟨,
74', 6 - 0, Sabaly C. ⚽, Laborda M. (A), Cubas A. (A2)
77', White B. ↓, Elloumi R. ↑,
77', Jackson A. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
82', Padelford D. ↓, Markanich A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 3.

Vancouver is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Minnesota has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vancouver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vancouver has had a series of home games.

Recently, Minnesota has had a series of away games.

In this match, Vancouver is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gauld R. (Knee Injury) Halbouni B. (Knee Injury) Schonlau S. (Calf Injury) Veselinovic R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Minnesota: Boxall M. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Minnesota: Rodriguez J. (Contusion)

We predict that Vancouver will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vancouver Whitecaps
CONCACAF Champions Cup
12.03.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Seattle Sounders	0:3 ✺
MLS
07.03.26	Portland Timbers - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Toronto FC	3:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
25.02.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Cartagines	2:0 ✺
MLS
21.02.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Real Salt Lake	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW
- Minnesota United
MLS
07.03.26	Nashville SC - Minnesota United	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Minnesota United - Cincinnati	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Austin FC - Minnesota United	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Charlotte - Minnesota United	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Sporting Kansas City - Minnesota United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
28.05.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Minnesota United	0:0
27.04.25	Minnesota United - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:3
05.10.24	Vancouver Whitecaps - Minnesota United	0:1
03.07.24	Minnesota United - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:3
06.05.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Minnesota United	3:2
25.03.23	Minnesota United - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1
09.10.22	Minnesota United - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:0

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