The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 2 63.1%
Draw 20.2%
Sporting Kansas City II 16.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.5%
20.1%
16.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67%
19.1%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Sporting Kansas City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Minnesota United 2 - Sporting Kansas City II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Perkins K. (G) 31. Dang N. (C) 92. Kabia A. 97. Clarkson J. 95. Vigilante S. 90. Pechota L. 36. Friedman J. 59. Farris J. 32. Putt T. 22. Caldeira M. 17. Randell D.
12. Kortkamp J. (G) 87. Francka J. 41. Lurot P. 54. Antongirolami L. 72. Wantland Z. 48. Mabie B. 75. Loyo Reynaga Z. 97. Derksen C. 88. Donovan S. 37. Ikoba T. 70. Haas T.
Substitutes
99. Adebayo-Smith J. 61. Bernard J. 62. Bojang M. 75. Cruz H. 51. Grulke C. 50. Harwood M. 48. Maynes W. 64. Saidi I. 60. Zeruhn K. (G)
66. Brooks E. 47. Burns T. 42. Cunningham A. 39. Kalinka J. 91. Molinaro J. (G) 76. Ortiz J. 44. Quintero G. 96. Rodriguez M. 50. Worcester S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
11', Derksen C. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Caldeira M. ⚽, Friedman J. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Caldeira M. ⚽, Kabia A. (A),
31', Kabia A. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Ikoba T. ⚽, Donovan S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Loyo Reynaga Z. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
46', Haas T. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
50', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
53', 3 - 1, Putt T. ⚽, Caldeira M. (A),
55', Vigilante S. ↓, Bojang M. ↑,
63', Wantland Z. ↓, Cunningham A. ↑,
63', Friedman J. ↓, Adebayo-Smith J. ↑,
63', Putt T. ↓, Harwood M. ↑,
63', Kabia A. ↓, Cruz H. ↑,
65', Dang N. 🟨,
67', Donovan S. ↓, Quintero G. ↑,
69', 4 - 1, Farris J. ⚽,
71', Bojang M. 🟨,
80', Francka J. ↓, Worcester S. ↑,
82', 4 - 2, Ikoba T. ⚽, Ortiz J. (A),
86', Bojang M. ↓, Maynes W. ↑,
86', Maynes W. 🟥,
90+7', Cunningham A. 🟨,
90+11', 4 - 3, Rodriguez M. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 5.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Sporting KC II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Minnesota 2 has had a series of home games.
In this match, Minnesota 2 is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 2.2:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 2.4:2.2).
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Perkins K. (G) 
Kabia A. 
Putt T. 
Caldeira M. 
Lurot P. 
Ortiz J. 
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