Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 30

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadium FC Minsk (Minsk) 🌤️ ...


	Minsk 2		Orsha

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.75	3.45
	1.82	3.75	3.39	Watch
	1.64	4.1	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.82)	3.87 ↑ (3.75)	3.53 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minsk 2
51.2%

Draw
23.3%

Orsha
25.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.5%

24%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

20.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minsk 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minsk 2 than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minsk 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsha than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orsha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Minsk 2 - Orsha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Gerashchenko M. (G) 9. Bondarenko I. 7. Bulatskiy G. 13. Denisenko D. 2. Dikhtievskiy V. 14. Ganchuk V. 21. Kazakov A. 17. Kindruk E. 18. Morozov D. 4. Sheremet P. 5. Zholudov V.	1. Volodkov A. (G) 10. Alexandrovich A. 8. Berezun I. 7. Bobchenok N. 93. Bordukov P. 19. Kostyukovich V. 82. Shalychev V. 11. Stain D. 5. Tarbyakov N. 9. Tikhomirov D. 77. Zheleznikov G.
Substitutes
1. Akritidis M. (G) 11. Bulyga N. 12. Egorov E. 3. Gorkovsky D. 20. Khachaturian V. 15. Korotonozhkin V. 8. Migdalenok A. 22. Porshnev I. 6. Sitnikov R. 10. Volchok I.	69. Bulakhov S. 14. Dambrovsky A. 80. Komarov Y. 52. Kravchenko R. (G) 22. Kudinov E. 16. Pashkevich M. 88. Rudenok D. 13. Strebtsov D. 18. Volchenko N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Bulatskiy G. ⚽, Bondarenko I. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Alexandrovich A. ⚽, Kostyukovich V. (A),
30', Alexandrovich A. 🟨,
42', Kindruk E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
49', 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Tikhomirov D. ⚽, Alexandrovich A. (A),
85', 1 - 3, Bordukov P. ⚽,
86', 1 - 4, Tikhomirov D. ⚽, Kudinov E. (A),
90+2', 1 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 13th and 15th).

Recent results have been tough for Minsk 2 (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Orsha is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Minsk 2 holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Minsk 2 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:1 (averaging 2.5:0.5 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Minsk 2	30	10	3	17	42:58	-16	33
14	Orsha	30	8	6	16	35:56	-21	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Minsk 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
18.10.26	Volna Pinsk - Minsk 2	1:4 ✺
11.10.26	Minsk 2 - Smorgon	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	BumProm Gomel - Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Soligorsk - Minsk 2	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Minsk 2 - Osipovichi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLT
- FC Orsha
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
17.10.26	Orsha - Osipovichi	2:3 ✺
11.10.26	Lida - Orsha	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Orsha - Niva Dolbizno	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	SKA-1938 - Orsha	5:1 ✺
19.09.26	Orsha - Slutsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
28.06.26	Orsha - Minsk 2	0:4
08.08.25	Orsha - Minsk 2	1:1

Minsk 2 - Orsha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide