Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Spain	Gol Play
Uruguay	VTV+
World	Disney+


	Miramar Misiones		Montevideo City Torque

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.1
	3.2	3.25	2.19	Watch
	3.49	3.06	2.21	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.2
	3.42	3.16	2.17	Watch
	3.2	3.25	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.21)	3.17 ↓ (3.31)	2.17 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miramar Misiones
28.3%

Draw
29.1%

Montevideo City Torque
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

27.9%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.8%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Miramar Misiones - Montevideo City Torque Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Miramar Misiones will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Montevideo City will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Miramar Misiones (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Miramar Misiones (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Moreno J. (G) 29. Ayala J. 16. Gomez M. 18. Hurtado B. 4. Lopez P. 19. Olivera A. 25. Olivera D. 8. Pandiani A. 14. Pereira G. 21. Rodriguez A. 11. Sosa A.	25. Tinaglini F. (G) 15. Busquets E. 18. Costa S. 24. Kagelmacher G. 6. Leivas N. 14. Lopez L. 9. Neris P. 21. Nunez W. 11. Obregon E. 8. Rodriguez S. 4. Villa M.
Substitutes
9. Douglas J. 32. Fernandez M. 12. Gonzalez L. (G) 23. Nunez D. 17. Rodriguez M. 26. Santos M. 10. Schiappacasse N. 24. Silvera F. 5. Sosa E. 20. Viana L.	7. Andrade L. 31. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 44. Fratta G. 19. Guzman D. 22. Mendez R. (G) 10. Pino L. 5. Pizzichillo F. 20. Siles P. 27. Taran J.
Coaches
Peralta H.	Cicotello M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Neris P. ⚽,
45+1', Neris P. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pandiani A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
49', Villa M. 🟨,
59', Nunez W. 🟨,
63', Pereira G. 🟨,
66', Rodriguez A. ↓, Silvera F. ↑,
66', Nunez W. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
70', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
79', Leivas N. ↓, Fratta G. ↑,
79', Costa S. ↓, Siles P. ↑,
79', Hurtado B. ↓, Schiappacasse N. ↑,
79', Gomez M. ↓, Douglas J. ↑,
84', Lopez L. 🟨,
87', Tinaglini F. 🟨,
90', Fratta G. 🟥,
90+9', Da Silva N. 🟨,
90+9', Moreno J. 🟨,
90+10', Moreno J. 🟥,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10).

Recent matches Miramar Misiones is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montevideo City is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Montevideo City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Montevideo City will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.03.25	Defensor Sporting - Miramar Misiones	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Miramar Misiones - Cerro	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Miramar Misiones	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Miramar Misiones - Progreso	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Miramar Misiones - Danubio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTWTW
- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.03.25	Montevideo City Torque - Danubio	1:1 ✺
25.03.25	Cerro Largo - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
20.03.25	Montevideo City Torque - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:4 ✺
15.03.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	4:1 ✺
07.03.25	Montevideo City Torque - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTLLT

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