Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Referee: Sacarelo B. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Russia	Viju+ Sport
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Spain	Gol Play
Uruguay	VTV+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Defensor Sporting		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	6	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.33
	1.67	3.55	5	Watch
	1.67	3.53	5.5	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.4
	1.69	3.37	5.61	Watch
	1.67	3.55	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.76)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	5.12 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
55%

Draw
26.9%

Miramar Misiones
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25.7%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Defensor Sporting - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Users Predictions: Defensor Sporting will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dawson K. (G) 31. Furtado N. 3. De los Santos G. 15. Viacava J. 16. Alvarez J. 18. Soria A. 45. Ginella F. 22. Barco A. 59. Montoya W. 10. Abaldo M. 40. Gomez M.	1. Moreno J. (G) 16. Gomez M. 29. Ayala J. 3. Diana S. 11. Sosa A. 14. Pereira G. (C) 32. Fernandez M. 25. Olivera D. 21. Rodriguez A. 7. Yepez I. 20. Viana L.
Substitutes
19. Abreu D. 11. Agazzi L. 6. Amaro M. 5. Barrios G. 25. Biscayzacu X. 30. Cuello E. 1. Machado L. (G) 14. Pacifico P. 21. Prieto K. 7. Soldano F.	9. Douglas J. 12. Gonzalez L. (G) 18. Hurtado B. 4. Lopez P. 23. Nunez D. 8. Pandiani A. 10. Ramirez G. 24. Silvera F. 2. Siri E. 5. Sosa E.
Coaches
Navarro A.	Peralta H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Barco A. 🟨,
27', Yepez I. 🟨,
41', Moreno J. 🟨,
41', Gomez M. (Pen),
45+2', Gomez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Viana L. ↓, Silvera F. ↑,
48', Diana S. 🟨,
59', Fernandez M. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
59', Rodriguez A. ↓, Hurtado B. ↑,
61', Ginella F. 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Abaldo M. ⚽,
67', Soria A. ↓, Prieto K. ↑,
67', Ginella F. ↓, Amaro M. ↑,
70', Yepez I. 🟨,
73', 2 - 0, Abaldo M. ⚽,
80', Barco A. ↓, Barrios G. ↑,
82', Olivera D. ↓, Pandiani A. ↑,
84', Abaldo M. ↓, Biscayzacu X. ↑,
84', Montoya W. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
90', Pereira G. ↓, Douglas J. ↑,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Defensor Sporting is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Defensor Sporting won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Defensor Sporting won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
27.03.25	Danubio - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Defensor Sporting	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Defensor Sporting - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Plaza Colonia - Defensor Sporting	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLLW
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Primera Division
27.03.25	Miramar Misiones - Cerro	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Miramar Misiones	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Miramar Misiones - Progreso	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Miramar Misiones - Danubio	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Cerro Largo - Miramar Misiones	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
30.11.24	Miramar Misiones - Defensor Sporting	0:0
02.06.24	Defensor Sporting - Miramar Misiones	3:0
02.03.14	Defensor Sporting - Miramar Misiones	2:1
22.09.13	Miramar Misiones - Defensor Sporting	0:1

Upcoming Matches