Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 28

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Mirandés		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.7
	2.25	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.37	3.1	3.57
	2.32	3.01	3.45	Watch
	2.3	3	3.2
	2.37	3.17	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.54)	3.1 ↓ (3.27)	3.22 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
40.4%

Draw
30.4%

Ceuta
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

29%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceuta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Mirandés - Ceuta Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ceuta will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Juanpa (G) 2. Novoa Ramos H. 22. Gutierrez J. (C) 19. Maras N. 15. Cabello J. 3. Medrano F. 29. Houary A. 16. Clua S. 18. Bauza R. 28. Hernandez J. 9. Balde S.	1. Lopez P. (C) 4. Caparros A. 6. Hernandez C. 15. Gonzalez D. 7. Ahmed A. 14. Bodiger Y. 12. Illescas M. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 8. Zalazar K. 19. Jamelli 9. Fernandez Sanchez M.
Substitutes
24. Cordoba I. 30. El Jebari S. 6. Helguera T. 14. Mari A. 8. Martin Luis A. 1. Nikic I. (G) 4. Pascual M. 5. Pica A. 20. Sia D. 27. Tamarit T. 7. Varela I.	17. Almenara G. 26. Bassinga A. 24. Cantero Y. 18. de la Fuente K. 22. Kone K. 28. Peri (G) 2. Sanchez M. 25. Sanchez S. 11. Schor I. 13. Vallejo G. (G)
Coaches
Muneta A.	Romero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Zalazar K. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽, Jamelli (A),
45', Jamelli 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maras N. ↓, Mari A. ↑,
46', Bodiger Y. ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
63', Clua S. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
74', Caparros A. ↓, Almenara G. ↑,
74', Ahmed A. 🟨,
75', Ahmed A. 🟨,
84', Houary A. ↓, Sia D. ↑,
84', Jamelli ↓, Cantero Y. ↑,
84', Illescas M. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
86', Bassinga A. 🟨,
87', Novoa Ramos H. ↓, Varela I. ↑,
88', Mari A. ↓, Martin Luis A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mirandés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mirandés: Lopez P. (Knee Injury) Nikic I. (Inactive) Perez P. (Knee Injury) Postigo S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Campana J. (Injury) Domenech M. (Injury) Youness (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Mirandés: Fernandez C. (Injury) Novoa Ramos H. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirandés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Ceuta	9	1	2	6	8:20	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

Mirandés - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 37.17%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.26	Huesca - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Mirandés - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Racing Santander - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Mirandés - Málaga	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTLWL
- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
25.02.26	Ceuta - Córdoba	3:2 ✺
20.02.26	Ceuta - Granada	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Huesca - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Almería - Ceuta	4:2 ✺
26.01.26	Ceuta - Leonesa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.10.25	Ceuta - Mirandés	2:0

Mirandés - Ceuta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide