Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA PAULISTA - ROUND 8

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)


	Mirassol		Comercial SP

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.4	8
	1.35	4.1	8.2
	1.37	4.23	8.72
	1.4	3.6	7.5
	1.34	4.4	8.9
	1.35	4.2	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.48)	4.16 ↑ (3.79)	8.25 ↑ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
67%

Draw
22%

Comercial SP
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

24.2%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

23.4%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Mirassol - Comercial SP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Mirassol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mirassol is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
22.08.23	Mirassol - Juventude	0:1 ✺
17.08.23	Vila Nova - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
11.08.23	EC Noroeste - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
11.08.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
07.08.23	Mirassol - São Bento	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Copa Paulista
13.08.23	Comercial SP - Grêmio Prudente	1:2 ✺
05.08.23	Marília - Comercial SP	2:2 ✺
30.07.23	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	1:3 ✺
22.07.23	São Bento - Comercial SP	0:0 ✺
16.07.23	Comercial SP - Mirassol	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.07.23	Comercial SP - Mirassol	0:3

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