Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 11

Date: 20 June 2024, Thursday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Referee: Ribeiro Serafim D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV 3, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Vila Nova		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.55	2.87	2.75
	2.65	3	2.8
	2.78	3	2.98
	2.78	2.92	2.98
	2.6	3	2.75
	2.62	3.05	2.78	Watch
	2.55	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.83)	2.99 ↑ (2.93)	2.83 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
35.5%

Draw
31.4%

Mirassol
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

31.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

32.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	72.7%	9.1%

Vila Nova - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Denis Junior (G) 2. Elias 3. Juan Quintero 4. Jemmes 14. Eric 5. Cristiano 15. Joao Victor 10. Luciano Naninho 70. Juan Christian 11. Alesson (C) 19. Henrique Almeida	23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 4. Luiz Otavio 28. Warley 25. Neto Moura 8. Danielzinho 27. Gabriel (C) 11. Negueba 49. Dellatorre 7. Fernandinho
Substitutes
22. Apodi 20. Bruno Matias 17. Emerson Urso 16. Fabio 13. Guilherme Lacerda 30. Halls (G) 18. Joao Lucas 23. Marcondes 8. Ralf 6. Rhuan 21. Rian	2. Alex Silva 10. Chico Kim 14. Isaque 3. Lucas Gazal 26. Miguel Silva 6. PH 9. Quirino 12. Sidnei (G) 1. Vanderlei (G) 31. Vinicius Peixoto 33. Wanderson
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Neto Moura 🟨,
39', Dellatorre (Pen),
40', Joao Victor 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandinho ↓, Isaque ↑,
46', Joao Victor ↓, Ralf ↑,
56', Henrique Almeida 🟨,
59', Bruno Matias 🟨,
62', Luciano Naninho ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
62', Eric ↓, Rhuan ↑,
62', Joao Victor 🟨,
68', 1 - 0, Henrique Almeida ⚽, Elias (A),
69', Negueba ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
72', Juan Christian ↓, Apodi ↑,
75', Warley ↓, Lucas Gazal ↑,
76', Neto Moura ↓, Quirino ↑,
81', Cristiano 🟨,
81', Quirino 🟨,
83', Henrique Almeida ↓, Guilherme Lacerda ↑,
85', Lucas Ramon ↓, PH ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 8).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Vila Nova: Ralf (Injury)

There will not play in Mirassol: Yuri Lima (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
16.06.24	Botafogo SP - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
10.06.24	Vila Nova - Ceará	3:2 ✺
02.06.24	Chapecoense - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Vila Nova - Brusque	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
22.05.24	Paysandu - Vila Nova	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTTL
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
16.06.24	Sport Recife - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
11.06.24	Mirassol - Goiás	1:0 ✺
04.06.24	Mirassol - Guarani	3:0 ✺
28.05.24	Amazonas - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
19.05.24	Mirassol - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
17.08.23	Vila Nova - Mirassol	2:0
06.05.23	Mirassol - Vila Nova	1:1

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