Match Info

Date: 6 February 2021, Saturday


	Mirassol		Floresta

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	8.25
	1.16	5.8	13
	1.24	5.4	8.6
	1.22	5.13	12.29
	1.22	4.6	13
	1.24	5.35	10.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.41)	5.26 ↑ (4.3)	10.98 ↑ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
74.4%

Draw
17.3%

Floresta
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

21.4%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

12.6%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Floresta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-35.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Floresta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Mirassol in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Floresta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Mirassol is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie D
30.01.21	Floresta - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
24.01.21	Altos - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
17.01.21	Mirassol - Altos	4:0 ✺
09.01.21	Aparecidense - Mirassol	2:3 ✺
02.01.21	Mirassol - Aparecidense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie D
30.01.21	Floresta - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
23.01.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Floresta	0:2 ✺
16.01.21	Floresta - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
10.01.21	América RN - Floresta	1:1 ✺
02.01.21	Floresta - América RN	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.4 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
30.01.21	Floresta - Mirassol	0:1

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