Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 32

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Mito HollyHock		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.25	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.53	3.45	2.21
	3.36	3.29	2.16	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	3.32	3.3	2.11	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.27)	3.31 ↓ (3.38)	2.13 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
28.5%

Draw
28%

Fagiano Okayama
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

27.5%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

27.5%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Mito HollyHock - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Tomii D. (G) 17. Nagasawa S. 88. Nagai K. 5. Kusumoto T. 3. Osaki K. 23. Koda H. 10. Maeda R. 47. Sakurai T. 7. Arai H. 22. Kubo S. 96. Kurokawa A.	49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 18. Tagami D. 43. Suzuki Y. 23. Saga R. 24. Fujita I. 14. Tabei R. 17. Sueyoshi R. 39. Hayakawa J. 19. Iwabuchi H. 99. Lucao
Substitutes
11. Kusano Y. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 99. Nakashima T. 13. Nose R. 38. Saito S. 4. Yamada N. 24. Yamazaki K.	33. Kamiya Yuta 21. Kawakami K. (G) 27. Kimura T. 11. Ota R. 2. Takagi Y. 7. Takeuchi R. 5. Yanagi Y.
Coaches
Mori N.	Kiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Saga R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Nagai K. 🟨,
50', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
51', Kurokawa A. (Pen),
60', Kurokawa A. ↓, Kusano Y. ↑,
60', Koda H. ↓, Saito S. ↑,
61', Hayakawa J. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
61', Saga R. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
69', Kubo S. ↓, Nakashima T. ↑,
70', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
81', Tabei R. ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
81', Sueyoshi R. ↓, Ota R. ↑,
85', Maeda R. ↓, Yamazaki K. ↑,
85', Nagai K. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
90+2', Nakashima T. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 0.

Mito HollyHock is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Okayama is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Okayama could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Okayama will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Mito HollyHock won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
15.09.24	Tochigi - Mito HollyHock	2:3 ✺
07.09.24	JEF United Chiba - Mito HollyHock	4:0 ✺
31.08.24	Mito HollyHock - Ehime	3:1 ✺
25.08.24	Mito HollyHock - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWWW
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
14.09.24	Fagiano Okayama - Ehime	3:0 ✺
08.09.24	Fagiano Okayama - Blaublitz Akita	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Fagiano Okayama	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Fagiano Okayama - Oita Trinita	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Tokushima Vortis - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
20.03.24	Fagiano Okayama - Mito HollyHock	1:0
01.07.23	Fagiano Okayama - Mito HollyHock	1:0
05.03.23	Mito HollyHock - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
25.06.22	Mito HollyHock - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
04.05.22	Fagiano Okayama - Mito HollyHock	2:1
24.10.21	Mito HollyHock - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
17.04.21	Fagiano Okayama - Mito HollyHock	1:2

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