Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 28

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Mito HollyHock		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4	Watch
	1.82	3.1	4
	1.9	3.3	4	Watch
	1.96	3.36	4.65
	1.95	3.3	3.99	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4
	1.9	3.24	4.12	Watch
	1.9	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.98)	3.28 ↑ (3.26)	4.1 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
49.1%

Draw
28.3%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28.8%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Mito HollyHock - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mito HollyHock: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Matsubara S. (G) 33. Ushizawa T. 4. Yamada N. 3. Osaki K. 17. Nagasawa S. 88. Nagai K. 47. Sakurai T. 7. Arai H. 23. Koda H. 11. Kusano Y. 22. Kubo S.	21. Kushibiki M. (G) 24. Sakai S. 34. Koyanagi T. 22. Takahashi Y. 29. Tagashira R. 37. Sehata G. 6. Amagasa T. 5. Kawakami C. 44. Semba T. 14. Kawamoto R. 32. Kawata A.
Substitutes
9. Ando M. 32. Ikari A. 99. Nakashima T. 13. Nose R. 38. Saito S. 25. Tomii D. (G) 24. Yamazaki K.	23. Hiramatsu S. 42. Ishii R. (G) 28. Kabayama R. 15. Kazama K. 40. Sagawa K. 11. Sugimoto R. 17. Yamanaka A.
Coaches
Mori N.	Muto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Kubo S. ⚽,
27', Sehata G. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Koda H. ⚽, Kusano Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tagashira R. ↓, Kabayama R. ↑,
66', Koda H. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
66', Kubo S. ↓, Ando M. ↑,
70', Sakai S. ↓, Kazama K. ↑,
73', Kawakami C. 🟨,
74', Kusano Y. 🟨,
78', Kawata A. ↓, Sagawa K. ↑,
78', Kawamoto R. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
78', Nagai K. ↓, Yamazaki K. ↑,
78', Kusano Y. ↓, Saito S. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Kawakami C. ⚽, Semba T. (A),
84', Semba T. ↓, Hiramatsu S. ↑,
88', Sakurai T. ↓, Ikari A. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 1.

Recent matches Mito HollyHock is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Thespakusatsu is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Mito HollyHock is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Mito HollyHock won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
17.08.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Mito HollyHock - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
03.08.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Mito HollyHock	1:2 ✺
14.07.24	Mito HollyHock - Yokohama FC	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Mito HollyHock	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WLWTL
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
17.08.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Yokohama FC	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:0 ✺
03.08.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	Kagoshima United - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	Ehime - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
07.04.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Mito HollyHock	0:0
22.10.23	Mito HollyHock - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2
17.05.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Mito HollyHock	2:1
23.10.22	Mito HollyHock - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1
03.04.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Mito HollyHock	2:1
10.10.21	Mito HollyHock - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1
04.06.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Mito HollyHock	2:1

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