Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 31

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.55
	2.8	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.96	3.16	2.69
	2.88	3.01	2.59	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.76	3.14	2.47	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.69)	3.1 ↓ (3.17)	2.53 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
33.4%

Draw
29.9%

Mito HollyHock
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

29.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Tochigi - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tochigi: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Tanno K. (G) 17. Fujitani T. 2. Hiramatsu W. 33. Rafael Costa 23. Fukushima H. 24. Kanbe K. 22. Aoshima T. 10. Mori T. 42. Minamino H. 15. Okuda K. 32. Miyazaki K.	25. Tomii D. (G) 33. Ushizawa T. 4. Yamada N. 3. Osaki K. 17. Nagasawa S. 47. Sakurai T. 88. Nagai K. 7. Arai H. 23. Koda H. 11. Kusano Y. 22. Kubo S.
Substitutes
16. Hyon R. 9. Ismaila O. 1. Kawata S. (G) 6. Omori S. 19. Oshima K. 5. Otani N. 45. Yamamoto O.	96. Kurokawa A. 5. Kusumoto T. 10. Maeda R. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 19. Murata K. 99. Nakashima T. 39. Yamamoto H.
Coaches
Kobayashi S.	Mori N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Miyazaki K. ⚽, Fukushima H. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Kubo S. (Pen),
29', 2 - 1, Fukushima H. ⚽, Fujitani T. (A),
36', Minamino H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Yamada N. ↓, Kusumoto T. ↑,
46', Ushizawa T. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
46', Kusano Y. ↓, Maeda R. ↑,
46', Koda H. ↓, Nakashima T. ↑,
59', 2 - 2, Kusumoto T. ⚽, Osaki K. (A),
66', Okuda K. ↓, Ismaila O. ↑,
75', 2 - 3, Nakashima T. ⚽, Kubo S. (A),
87', Kubo S. ↓, Murata K. ↑,
90+1', Minamino H. ↓, Yamamoto O. ↑,
90+1', Fukushima H. ↓, Omori S. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 1.

Tochigi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mito HollyHock is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Tochigi won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
07.09.24	Fujieda MYFC - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tochigi	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Tochigi - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Tochigi - Blaublitz Akita	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tochigi	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLTL
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
07.09.24	JEF United Chiba - Mito HollyHock	4:0 ✺
31.08.24	Mito HollyHock - Ehime	3:1 ✺
25.08.24	Mito HollyHock - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Mito HollyHock - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
13.04.24	Mito HollyHock - Tochigi	2:2
26.08.23	Tochigi - Mito HollyHock	2:2
13.05.23	Mito HollyHock - Tochigi	2:2
16.10.22	Tochigi - Mito HollyHock	2:3
30.03.22	Mito HollyHock - Tochigi	0:1
18.09.21	Tochigi - Mito HollyHock	0:0
09.05.21	Mito HollyHock - Tochigi	1:1

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