Match Info

J2 League - Round 36

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Mito HollyHock		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.7	Watch
				Watch
	2.42	3.15	2.78	Watch
	2.69	3.25	2.84
	2.44	3.17	2.78	Watch
	2.44	3.13	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.44)	3.18 ↑ (3.17)	2.76 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
37.4%

Draw
29%

Omiya Ardija
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.1%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

30.1%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Mito HollyHock - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Omiya will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mito HollyHock: 73.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mito HollyHock will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Nishikawa K. (G) 6. Iida T. 97. Takahashi T. 36. Itakura K. 2. Omori S. 99. Kato C. 24. Yamazaki K. 3. Osaki K. 8. Saito S. 13. Aihara S. 25. Tada K.	21. Kato Y. (G) 37. Sekiguchi K. 34. Murakami Y. 4. Ichihara R. 13. Iyoha O. 7. Kojima M. 30. Arthur Feitoza 18. Tsukui T. 10. Toyokawa Y. 29. Caprini 90. Sunday O.
Substitutes
9. Ando M. 71. Fofana M. 51. Haruna R. (G) 19. Murata K. 47. Semba T. 16. Tsukagawa K. 20. Umeda K. 4. Ushizawa T. 39. Yamamoto H.	42. Fujii K. 44. Fukui K. 9. Gonzalez F. 14. Izumi T. 46. Nuki M. 23. Sugimoto K. 45. Tsuboi Y. (G) 33. Wada T. 41. Yachida T.
Coaches
Mori N.	Miyazawa Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Ichihara R. 🟨,
30', Aihara S. 🟨,
41', Arthur Feitoza 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Iyoha O. 🟨,
62', Sunday O. ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
62', Toyokawa Y. ↓, Yachida T. ↑,
63', Kato C. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
63', Aihara S. ↓, Umeda K. ↑,
73', Tada K. ↓, Murata K. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Sugimoto K. ⚽, Caprini (A),
78', Arthur Feitoza ↓, Wada T. ↑,
83', Saito S. ↓, Ando M. ↑,
83', Yamazaki K. ↓, Tsukagawa K. ↑,
84', Sekiguchi K. ↓, Nuki M. ↑,
85', Caprini ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Sugimoto K. ⚽, Yachida T. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 3.

Mito HollyHock is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Omiya is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mito HollyHock won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
02.11.25	Ventforet Kofu - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Consadole Sapporo - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Mito HollyHock - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ehime - Mito HollyHock	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Mito HollyHock - Fujieda MYFC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
02.11.25	Omiya Ardija - Blaublitz Akita	5:0 ✺
26.10.25	Montedio Yamagata - Omiya Ardija	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Omiya Ardija - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Vegalta Sendai - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Omiya Ardija - Mito HollyHock	2:0
23.07.23	Mito HollyHock - Omiya Ardija	0:0
03.06.23	Omiya Ardija - Mito HollyHock	1:2
30.07.22	Mito HollyHock - Omiya Ardija	1:0
05.06.22	Omiya Ardija - Mito HollyHock	0:2
21.11.21	Omiya Ardija - Mito HollyHock	1:3
28.02.21	Mito HollyHock - Omiya Ardija	1:2

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