Match Info

J2 League - Round 34

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium (Sapporo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Consadole Sapporo		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.35	Watch
				Watch
	2.68	3.25	2.42	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.37
	3.06	3.44	2.14	Watch
	2.98	3.29	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.06)	3.35 ↓ (3.44)	2.32 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Consadole Sapporo
32.2%

Draw
27.8%

Mito HollyHock
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26.8%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

26%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Consadole Sapporo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Consadole Sapporo - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Consadole Sapporo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mito HollyHock (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Consadole Sapporo (2.09) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Consadole Sapporo (votes: 4 - 80%). Mito HollyHock (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Takagi S. (G) 2. Takao R. 55. Miya D. 47. Nishino S. 33. Kondo T. 10. Miyazawa H. 6. Takamine T. 3. Park Min-Gyu 7. Sarachat S. 16. Hasegawa T. 20. Bakayoko A.	34. Nishikawa K. (G) 6. Iida T. 97. Takahashi T. 36. Itakura K. 2. Omori S. 99. Kato C. 3. Osaki K. 24. Yamazaki K. 8. Saito S. 25. Tada K. 44. Okuda K.
Substitutes
27. Arano T. 35. Hara K. 31. Kido S. 90. Mario Sergio 4. Nakamura T. 25. Osaki L. 1. Sugeno T. (G) 30. Tanaka H. 50. Urakami N.	13. Aihara S. 70. Arai M. 71. Fofana M. 51. Haruna R. (G) 22. Kubo S. 47. Semba T. 16. Tsukagawa K. 4. Ushizawa T. 39. Yamamoto H.
Coaches
Shibata S.	Mori N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Saito S. ⚽, Yamazaki K. (A),
29', Park Min-Gyu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Park Min-Gyu ↓, Arano T. ↑,
58', Miyazawa H. ↓, Osaki L. ↑,
61', Tada K. ↓, Aihara S. ↑,
61', Okuda K. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
64', Takao R. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
64', Hasegawa T. ↓, Tanaka H. ↑,
74', Saito S. ↓, Tsukagawa K. ↑,
74', Kato C. ↓, Arai M. ↑,
77', Bakayoko A. ↓, Mario Sergio ↑,
82', Yamazaki K. ↓, Kubo S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Consadole Sapporo won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Consadole Sapporo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Consadole Sapporo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Consadole Sapporo - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.13%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2 League
18.10.25	Kataller Toyama - Consadole Sapporo	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Consadole Sapporo - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Consadole Sapporo - Vegalta Sendai	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Tokushima Vortis - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWL
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
19.10.25	Mito HollyHock - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ehime - Mito HollyHock	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Mito HollyHock - Fujieda MYFC	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Iwaki - Mito HollyHock	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Vegalta Sendai - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
12.04.25	Mito HollyHock - Consadole Sapporo	3:1
07.10.16	Consadole Sapporo - Mito HollyHock	1:0
15.05.16	Mito HollyHock - Consadole Sapporo	0:1
14.11.15	Mito HollyHock - Consadole Sapporo	2:1
19.04.15	Consadole Sapporo - Mito HollyHock	1:0
04.10.14	Mito HollyHock - Consadole Sapporo	0:0
25.05.14	Consadole Sapporo - Mito HollyHock	4:0

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