The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mjøndalen 11%
Draw 17.3%
Aalesunds 71.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.7%
20.8%
61.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.4%
20.4%
62.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mjøndalen's form might have worsened.
Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aalesunds's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mjøndalen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aalesunds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mjøndalen - Aalesunds Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
87. Oy L. (G) 5. Midtgarden E. (C) 2. Vik I. 6. Skau J. 21. Ekstrom V. 10. Saetherbo K. 11. Bruusgaard J. 3. Molund A. 28. Sawaneh E. 7. Reutersward L. 19. Waehler M.
1. Grytebust S. (G) 4. Haram S. 5. Kjelsen A. 15. Skuseth N. 7. Nesso K. 66. Seehusen J. (C) 6. Hammer H. 21. Christensen M. 16. Orsahl J. 39. Lonebu K. 19. Heiselberg F.
Substitutes
20. Arierhi K. 18. Arsbog N. 17. Bata K. 13. Bro P. S. (G) 16. Godwin F. 27. Kekeli K. 15. Kvam F. 14. Midtgard O. 25. Ogboji T.
29. Boe J. 23. Froysa E. 11. Johannsson D. 25. Kitolano J. 26. Larsen T. (G) 8. Melland H. 17. Myrlid E.
Coaches
Nicol K.
Rekdal K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
11', Reutersward L. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Lonebu K. ⚽, Orsahl J. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Lonebu K. ⚽, Hammer H. (A),
41', Saetherbo K. 🟨,
42', 0 - 3, Hammer H. ⚽, Christensen M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Reutersward L. ↓, Arierhi K. ↑,
68', Waehler M. ↓, Midtgard O. ↑,
68', Saetherbo K. ↓, Kvam F. ↑,
69', Christensen M. ↓, Johannsson D. ↑,
69', Heiselberg F. ↓, Melland H. ↑,
79', 0 - 4, Johannsson D. ⚽,
79', Seehusen J. ↓, Myrlid E. ↑,
84', 0 - 5, Melland H. ⚽, Hammer H. (A),
87', Sawaneh E. ↓, Kekeli K. ↑,
88', 0 - 6, Hammer H. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjøndalen won 3.
Mjøndalen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Aalesunds is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Aalesunds is considered a favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mjøndalen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Mjøndalen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).