The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carpi 26.8%
Draw 31.3%
Modena 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.2%
30.8%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.5%
23.5%
53.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carpi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Modena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carpi - Modena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).
Recent matches Carpi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Modena is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Carpi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Modena will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Carpi won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Carpi won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.