Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Carpi		Modena

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.45	2.8	2.15
	3.76	2.96	2.27
	3.7	2.8	2.2
	3.56	2.95	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.21)	2.93 ↓ (2.94)	2.19 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carpi
26.8%

Draw
31.3%

Modena
41.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.2%

30.8%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

23.5%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carpi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Modena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carpi - Modena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Recent matches Carpi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Modena is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carpi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Modena will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Carpi won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Carpi won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
03.03.21	Legnago Salus - Carpi	0:0 ✺
28.02.21	Carpi - Fermana	0:0 ✺
22.02.21	Cesena - Carpi	3:0 ✺
17.02.21	Carpi - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
14.02.21	Arezzo - Carpi	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLTT
- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
03.03.21	Modena - Imolese	3:1 ✺
27.02.21	Perugia - Modena	3:0 ✺
21.02.21	Modena - Sambenedettese	4:1 ✺
18.02.21	FeralpiSalò - Modena	0:1 ✺
15.02.21	Modena - Matelica	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
11.11.20	Modena - Carpi	2:1
24.10.19	Carpi - Modena	0:1
Italian Serie B
03.05.15	Modena - Carpi	1:2
13.12.14	Carpi - Modena	1:0
17.04.14	Carpi - Modena	2:2
17.11.13	Modena - Carpi	2:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group A
01.11.26	Carpi - Renate	✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.26	Carpi - Ravenna	✺
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Modena - Mantova	✺

Carpi - Modena