Match Info

Date: 11 November 2020, Wednesday


	Modena		Carpi

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.7	3.5
	2.4	2.45	3.5	Watch
	2.4	2.55	3.3
	2.25	2.6	3.5
	2.31	2.74	3.68
	2.35	2.88	3.25
	2.28	3.04	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.06)	2.71 ↓ (3.22)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
39.3%

Draw
33.9%

Carpi
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

18.7%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Modena's form might have worsened.

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Modena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carpi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Modena - Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Recent matches Modena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carpi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Modena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Modena will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Modena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
08.11.20	Imolese - Modena	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Modena - Perugia	0:1 ✺
25.10.20	Sambenedettese - Modena	0:2 ✺
21.10.20	Modena - FeralpiSalò	0:0 ✺
17.10.20	Matelica - Modena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWTL
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
07.11.20	Carpi - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
01.11.20	Fermana - Carpi	0:1 ✺
24.10.20	Carpi - Cesena	2:0 ✺
21.10.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carpi	3:0 ✺
18.10.20	Carpi - Arezzo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
24.10.19	Carpi - Modena	0:1
Italian Serie B
03.05.15	Modena - Carpi	1:2
13.12.14	Carpi - Modena	1:0
17.04.14	Carpi - Modena	2:2
17.11.13	Modena - Carpi	2:3

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